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Dr Paul Smith

Senior Research Associate (Statistics) – Novel Statistical Methods for Energy/ IoT data Analytics

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  1. Published

    A Data Based Mechanistic real-time flood forecasting module for NFFS FEWS: DBM real-time flood forecasting

    Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 9, 6, p. 7271-7296 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Special issue › peer-review

  2. Published

    A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations

    Coxon, G., Freer, J., Westerberg, I. K., Wagener, T., Woods, R. & Smith, P. J., 1/07/2015, In: Water Resources Research. 51, 7, p. 5531-5546 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting a case study in the Cevennes region

    Alfieri, L., Smith, P. J., Thielen-del Pozo, J. & Beven, K. J., 2011, In: Advances in Geosciences. 29, p. 13-20 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    Adaptive correction of deterministic models to produce probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Weerts, A. H. & Leedal, D., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 8, p. 2783-2799 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting: Progresses, challenges, and emerging opportunities

    Liu, Y., Weerts, A. H., Clark, M., Hendricks Franssen, H. J., Kumar, S., Moradkhani, H., Seo, D. J., Schwanenberg, D., Smith, P., Van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Van Velzen, N., He, M., Lee, H., Noh, S. J., Rakovec, O. & Restrepo, P., 29/10/2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 10, p. 3863-3887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    An experiment with reflective middleware to support grid-based flood monitoring

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Coulson, G., Grace, P., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Beven, K. & Coulson, G., 10/08/2008, In: Concurrency and computation-Practice & experience. 20, 11, p. 1303-1316 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    An intelligent and adaptable grid-based flood monitoring and warning system.

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Pappenberger, F., Coulson, G., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2006, Proceedings of the UK e-Science All Hands Meeting 2006. Cox, S. J. (ed.). Edinburgh: National E-Science Centre, p. 53-60 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  9. Published

    Building a multimodel flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive

    Zsótér, E., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Emerton, R. E., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D., Bogner, K. & Balsamo, G., 1/11/2016, In: Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 11, p. 2923-2940 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Citizen science for hydrological risk reduction and resilience building

    Paul, J. D., Buytaert, W., Allen, S., Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A., Bhusal, J., Cieslik, K., Clark, J., Dugar, S., Hannah, D. M., Stoffe, M., Dewulf, A., Dhita, M. R., Liu, W., Nayava, J. L., Neupane, B., Schiller, A., Smith, P. J. & Supper, R., 31/01/2018, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 5, 1, e1262.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Comment on "Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: Incoherence of the GLUE methodology" by Pietro Mantovan and Ezio Todini

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Freer, J., 30/05/2007, In: Journal of Hydrology. 338, 3-4, p. 315-318 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Comment on "pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling" by P. Clark et al.

    Beven, K., Smith, P., Westerberg, I. & Freer, J., 14/11/2012, In: Water Resources Research. 48, 11, W11801.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Comment/debate › peer-review

  13. Published

    Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

    Budimir, M., Donovan, A., Brown, S., Shakya, P., Gautam, D., Uprety, M., Cranston, M., Sneddon, A., Smith, P. & Dugar, S., 13/03/2020, In: Geoscience Communication. 3, 1, p. 49-70 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Community-based early warning systems for flood risk mitigation in Nepal

    Smith, P. J., Brown, S. & Dugar, S., 20/03/2017, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 17, 3, p. 423-437 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Concepts of information content and likelihood in parameter calibration for hydrological simulation models

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 26/02/2014, In: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20, 1, 15 p., A4014010.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Data-based mechanistic modelling of tidally affected river reaches for flood warning purposes: an example on the River Dee, UK

    Smith, P., Beven, K. & Horsburgh, K., 01/2013, In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 139, 671, p. 340-349 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Detection of structural inadequacy in process-based hydrological models : a particle-filtering approach.

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 8/01/2008, In: Water Resources Research. 44, 1, p. W01410

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Discharge dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers : estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data.

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Tawn, J., Blazkova, S. & Merta, L., 20/04/2006, In: Water Resources Research. 42, W04412

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

    Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Review article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Flash flood forecasting using Data-Based Mechanistic models and radar rainfall forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Panziera, L. & Germann, U., 2012, Weather radar and hydrology. Moore, R. J., Cole, S. J. & Illingworth, A. J. (eds.). Wallingford: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Vol. 351. p. 562-567 6 p. (IAHS Publication; vol. 351).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  23. Published

    Forecasting river levels during flash floods using Data Based Mechanistic models, online data assimilation and meteorological forecasts.

    Smith, P. & Beven, K., 07/2010. 0 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  24. Published

    Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide

    Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L., Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. & Thielen-Del Pozo, J., 2018, In: Geophysical Monograph Series. 233, p. 205-228 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?

    Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. & Wetterhall, F., 28/03/2017, In: Environmental Research Letters. 12, 4, 044006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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