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Research

Professor Peter Neal

Formerly at Lancaster University

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  1. 2020
  2. Published

    Efficient Bayesian model choice for partially observed processes: with application to an experimental transmission study of an infectious disease

    McKinley, T., Neal, P., Spencer, S., Conlan, A. & Tiley, L., 1/08/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 839-870 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. 2019
  4. Published

    The basic reproduction number, R_0, in structured populations

    Neal, P. & Theparod, T., 1/09/2019, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 315, 12 p., 108224.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Approximate Bayesian Computation Methods for Epidemic Models

    Neal, P., 19/08/2019, Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis. Held, L. (ed.). CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  6. 2018
  7. Published

    Dynamic stochastic block models: Parameter estimation and detection of changes in community structure

    Ludkin, M., Neal, P. J. & Eckley, I. A., 11/2018, In: Statistics and Computing. 28, 6, p. 1201-1213 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Model selection for time series of count data

    Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S., McKinley, T. & Touloupou, P., 06/2018, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 122, p. 33-44 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    Efficient model comparison techniques for models requiring large scale data augmentation

    Touloupou, P., Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S. & McKinley, T., 03/2018, In: Bayesian Analysis. 13, 2, p. 437-459 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Optimal scaling of the independence sampler: theory and practice

    Lee, C. & Neal, P. J., 2/02/2018, In: Bernoulli. 24, 3, p. 1636-1652 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. 2017
  12. Published

    A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Approximate Bayesian Computation

    Kypraios, T., Neal, P. J. & Prangle, D., 05/2017, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 287, p. 42-53 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    The asymptotic variance of the giant component of configuration model random graphs

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 1/04/2017, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 27, 2, p. 1057-1092 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Collapsing of non-centered parameterised MCMC algorithms with applications to epidemic models

    Neal, P. J. & Xiang, F., 03/2017, In: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. 44, 1, p. 81-96 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. 2016
  16. Published

    A household SIR epidemic model incorporating time of day effects

    Neal, P., 06/2016, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 53, 2, p. 489-501 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    On expected durations of birth-death processes, with applications to branching processes and SIS epidemics

    Ball, F., Britton, T. & Neal, P., 03/2016, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 53, 1, p. 203-215 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. 2015
  19. Published

    Forward simulation MCMC with applications to stochastic epidemic models

    Neal, P. & Huang, C. L., 06/2015, In: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. 42, 2, p. 378-396 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Exact Bayesian inference via data augmentation

    Neal, P. & Kypraios, T., 03/2015, In: Statistics and Computing. 25, 2, p. 333-347 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. 2014
  22. Published

    Efficient MCMC for temporal epidemics via parameter reduction

    Xiang, F. & Neal, P., 12/2014, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 80, p. 240-250 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Endemic behaviour of SIS epidemics with general infectious period distributions.

    Neal, P., 2014, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 46, 1, p. 241-255 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. 2013
  25. Published

    Robust estimation of microbial diversity in theory and in practice

    Haegeman, B., Hamelin, J., Moriarty, J., Neal, P., Dushoff, J. & Weitz, J. S., 06/2013, In: ISME Journal. 7, 6, p. 1092-1101 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. 2012
  27. Published

    Statistical analysis of an endemic disease from a capture-recapture experiment.

    Wei, Y., Neal, P., Telfer, S. & Begon, M., 12/2012, In: Journal of Applied Statistics. 39, 12, p. 2759-2773 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Efficient likelihood-free Bayesian Computation for household epidemics

    Neal, P., 11/2012, In: Statistics and Computing. 22, 6, p. 1239-1256 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    The probability of extinction of a dynamic epidemic model

    Neal, P. J., 03/2012, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 236, 1, p. 31-35 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Optimal scaling of random walk Metropolis algorithms with discontinuous target densities

    Neal, P., Roberts, G. & Yuen, W. K., 2012, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 22, 5, p. 1880-1927 48 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. 2011
  32. Published

    Optimal scaling of random walk metropolis algorithms with non-Gaussian proposals

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 09/2011, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 13, 3, p. 583-601 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. 2010
  34. Published

    The time to extinction for an SIS-household-epidemic model

    Britton, T. & Neal, P., 12/2010, In: Journal of Mathematical Biology. 61, 6, p. 763-779 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Applications of branching processes to the final size of SIR epidemics

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 22/01/2010, Workshop on Branching Processes and Their Applications . González Velasco, M., Puerto, I. M., Martínez, R., Molina, M., Mota, M. & Ramos, A. (eds.). Springer, p. 209-225 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  36. 2009
  37. Published

    Efficient order selection algorithms for integer valued ARMA processes

    Enciso Mora, V., Neal, P. & Subba Rao, T., 01/2009, In: Journal of Time Series Analysis. 30, 1, p. 1-18 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Bayesian Analysis for Emerging Infectious Diseases

    Jewell, C., Kypraios, T., Neal, P. & Roberts, G., 2009, In: Bayesian Analysis. 4, 3, p. 465-496 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  39. Published

    Integer valued AR processes with explanatory variables

    Enciso-Mora, V., Neal, P. J. & Subba Rao, T., 2009, In: Sankyha B : Applied and Interdisciplinary Statistics. 71, 2, p. 248-263 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. 2008
  41. Published

    The generalized coupon collector problem

    Neal, P. J., 09/2008, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 45, 3, p. 621-629 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Optimal scaling for random walk metropolis on spherically constrained target densities

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 06/2008, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 10, 2, p. 277-297 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing

    Ball, F. & Neal, P., 03/2008, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 212, 1, p. 69-87 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    The SIS Great Circle Epidemic model

    Neal, P., 2008, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 45, 2, p. 513-530 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. 2007
  46. Published

    MCMC for integer valued ARMA processes

    Neal, P. J. & Subba Rao, T., 01/2007, In: Journal of Time Series Analysis. 28, 1, p. 92-110 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    Comparisons of two SIR epidemic models with variable susceptibility and infectivity.

    Neal, P. J., 2007, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 44, 1, p. 41-57 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. 2006
  49. Published

    Stochastic and deterministic analysis of SIS household epidemics

    Neal, P. J., 12/2006, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 38, 4, p. 943-968 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Multitype randomised Reed-Frost epidemics and epidemics upon random graphs

    Neal, P. J., 08/2006, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 16, 3, p. 1166-1189 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    Optimal scaling for partially updating MCMC algorithms

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 05/2006, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 16, 2, p. 475-515 41 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. 2005
  53. Published

    A case study in non-centering for data augmentation: stochastic epidemics

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 2005, In: Statistics and Computing. 15, 4, p. 315-327 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Compound Poisson limits for household epidemics

    Neal, P. J., 2005, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 42, 2, p. 334-345 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  55. 2004
  56. Published

    Statistical inference and model selection for the 1861 Hagelloch measles epidemic.

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G. O., 04/2004, In: Biostatistics. 5, 2, p. 249-261 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  57. Published

    Poisson approximations for epidemics with two levels of mixing

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 2004, In: Annals of Probability. 32, 1B, p. 1168-1200 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  58. 2003
  59. Published

    SIR epidemics on a Bernoulli random graph

    Neal, P. J., 2003, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 40, 3, p. 779-782 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  60. Published

    The great circle epidemic model

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 2003, In: Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 107, 2, p. 233-268 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  61. 2002
  62. Published

    A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two levels of mixing.

    Ball, F. G. & Neal, P. J., 11/2002, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 180, 1-2, p. 73-102 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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