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Research

Professor Peter Neal

Formerly at Lancaster University

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  1. 2002
  2. Published

    A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two levels of mixing.

    Ball, F. G. & Neal, P. J., 11/2002, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 180, 1-2, p. 73-102 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. 2003
  4. Published

    SIR epidemics on a Bernoulli random graph

    Neal, P. J., 2003, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 40, 3, p. 779-782 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    The great circle epidemic model

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 2003, In: Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 107, 2, p. 233-268 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. 2004
  7. Published

    Poisson approximations for epidemics with two levels of mixing

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 2004, In: Annals of Probability. 32, 1B, p. 1168-1200 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Statistical inference and model selection for the 1861 Hagelloch measles epidemic.

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G. O., 04/2004, In: Biostatistics. 5, 2, p. 249-261 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. 2005
  10. Published

    A case study in non-centering for data augmentation: stochastic epidemics

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 2005, In: Statistics and Computing. 15, 4, p. 315-327 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Compound Poisson limits for household epidemics

    Neal, P. J., 2005, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 42, 2, p. 334-345 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. 2006
  13. Published

    Optimal scaling for partially updating MCMC algorithms

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 05/2006, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 16, 2, p. 475-515 41 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Multitype randomised Reed-Frost epidemics and epidemics upon random graphs

    Neal, P. J., 08/2006, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 16, 3, p. 1166-1189 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Stochastic and deterministic analysis of SIS household epidemics

    Neal, P. J., 12/2006, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 38, 4, p. 943-968 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. 2007
  17. Published

    Comparisons of two SIR epidemic models with variable susceptibility and infectivity.

    Neal, P. J., 2007, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 44, 1, p. 41-57 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    MCMC for integer valued ARMA processes

    Neal, P. J. & Subba Rao, T., 01/2007, In: Journal of Time Series Analysis. 28, 1, p. 92-110 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. 2008
  20. Published

    The SIS Great Circle Epidemic model

    Neal, P., 2008, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 45, 2, p. 513-530 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing

    Ball, F. & Neal, P., 03/2008, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 212, 1, p. 69-87 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Optimal scaling for random walk metropolis on spherically constrained target densities

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 06/2008, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 10, 2, p. 277-297 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    The generalized coupon collector problem

    Neal, P. J., 09/2008, In: Journal of Applied Probability. 45, 3, p. 621-629 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. 2009
  25. Published

    Bayesian Analysis for Emerging Infectious Diseases

    Jewell, C., Kypraios, T., Neal, P. & Roberts, G., 2009, In: Bayesian Analysis. 4, 3, p. 465-496 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Integer valued AR processes with explanatory variables

    Enciso-Mora, V., Neal, P. J. & Subba Rao, T., 2009, In: Sankyha B : Applied and Interdisciplinary Statistics. 71, 2, p. 248-263 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Efficient order selection algorithms for integer valued ARMA processes

    Enciso Mora, V., Neal, P. & Subba Rao, T., 01/2009, In: Journal of Time Series Analysis. 30, 1, p. 1-18 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. 2010
  29. Published

    Applications of branching processes to the final size of SIR epidemics

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 22/01/2010, Workshop on Branching Processes and Their Applications . González Velasco, M., Puerto, I. M., Martínez , R., Molina, M., Mota, M. & Ramos, A. (eds.). Springer, p. 209-225 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  30. Published

    The time to extinction for an SIS-household-epidemic model

    Britton, T. & Neal, P., 12/2010, In: Journal of Mathematical Biology. 61, 6, p. 763-779 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. 2011
  32. Published

    Optimal scaling of random walk metropolis algorithms with non-Gaussian proposals

    Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G., 09/2011, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 13, 3, p. 583-601 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. 2012
  34. Published

    Optimal scaling of random walk Metropolis algorithms with discontinuous target densities

    Neal, P., Roberts, G. & Yuen, W. K., 2012, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 22, 5, p. 1880-1927 48 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    The probability of extinction of a dynamic epidemic model

    Neal, P. J., 03/2012, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 236, 1, p. 31-35 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Efficient likelihood-free Bayesian Computation for household epidemics

    Neal, P., 11/2012, In: Statistics and Computing. 22, 6, p. 1239-1256 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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