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A framework for understanding climate change impacts on coral reef social-ecological systems

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  • Joshua Eli Cinner
  • Morgan Stuart Pratchett
  • Vanessa Messmer
  • Mariana Menezes Prata Bezerra Fuentes
  • Tracy Ainsworth
  • Natalie Ban
  • Line Kolind Bay
  • Jessica Blythe
  • Delphine Dissard
  • Simon Dunn
  • Louisa Evans
  • Michael Fabinyi
  • Pedro Fidelman
  • Joana Figueiredo
  • Ashley John Frisch
  • Christopher John Fulton
  • Vimoksalehi Lukoschek
  • Jennie Mallela
  • Aurelie Moya
  • Lucie Penin
  • Jodie Lynn Rummer
  • Stefan Walker
  • David Hall Williamson
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>04/2016
<mark>Journal</mark>Regional Environmental Change
Issue number4
Number of pages14
Pages (from-to)1133-1146
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date5/07/15
<mark>Original language</mark>English


Corals and coral-associated species are highly vulnerable to the emerging effects of global climate change. The widespread degradation of coral reefs, which will be accelerated by climate change, jeopardizes the goods and services that tropical nations derive from reef ecosystems. However, climate change impacts to reef social-ecological systems can also be bi-directional. For example, some climate impacts, such as storms and sea level rise, can directly impact societies, with repercussions for how they interact with the environment. This study identifies the multiple impact pathways within coral reef social-ecological systems arising from four key climatic drivers: increased sea surface temperature, severe tropical storms, sea level rise and ocean acidification. We develop a novel framework for investigating climate change impacts in social-ecological systems, which helps to highlight the diverse impacts that must be considered in order to develop a more complete understanding of the impacts of climate change, as well as developing appropriate management actions to mitigate climate change impacts on coral reef and people.