Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Asymmetric trading by insiders
T2 - comparing abnormal returns and earnings prediction in Spain and Australia
AU - Goncharov, Igor
AU - Hodgson, Allan C.
AU - Lhaopadchan, Suntharee
AU - Sanabria Garcia, Sonia
PY - 2013/3
Y1 - 2013/3
N2 - This paper examines whether the ‘external governance’ imposed by comparative financial accounting standards reduces the trading advantage of insiders. We do this by directly comparing insider trading returns and insider’s ability to predict future earnings from accruals in Spain and Australia. Results show higher excess returns and greater prediction of future earnings from conditioned insider trading in Australia that is then utilized by financial analysts to lower forecast errors – particularly in contrarian-based accruals trading. Possible explanations include: (i) a high asymmetric quality for market-based accruals, (ii) information transfer from informed insiders to uninformed insiders and financial analysts and (iii) a more timely dissemination of financial information in Spain through different ownership and governance structures.
AB - This paper examines whether the ‘external governance’ imposed by comparative financial accounting standards reduces the trading advantage of insiders. We do this by directly comparing insider trading returns and insider’s ability to predict future earnings from accruals in Spain and Australia. Results show higher excess returns and greater prediction of future earnings from conditioned insider trading in Australia that is then utilized by financial analysts to lower forecast errors – particularly in contrarian-based accruals trading. Possible explanations include: (i) a high asymmetric quality for market-based accruals, (ii) information transfer from informed insiders to uninformed insiders and financial analysts and (iii) a more timely dissemination of financial information in Spain through different ownership and governance structures.
KW - Insider trading
KW - Earnings predictability
KW - Market-based accounting accruals
KW - Analyst forecasts
KW - Information asymmetry
U2 - 10.1111/j.1467-629X.2011.00461.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1467-629X.2011.00461.x
M3 - Journal article
VL - 53
SP - 163
EP - 184
JO - Accounting and Finance
JF - Accounting and Finance
SN - 0810-5391
IS - 1
ER -