Rights statement: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Applied Statistics on 20/03/2018, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/02664763.2018.1450363
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Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Bayesian CV@R/super-quantile regression
AU - Tsionas, Efthymios
AU - Izzeldin, Marwan
N1 - This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Applied Statistics on 20/03/2018, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/02664763.2018.1450363
PY - 2018/3/20
Y1 - 2018/3/20
N2 - In this paper we provide a Bayesian interpretation of the conditional value at risk, CV@R, or super-quantile regression recently developed by Rockafellar et al. [Super-quantile regression with applications to buffered reliability, uncertainty quantification, and conditional value-at-risk, Eur. J. Oper. Res. 234 (2014), pp. 140–154]. Computations are based on particle filtering using a special posterior distribution consistent with the super-quantile concept. An empirical application to data used by RRM as well to another data set on energy prices confirms their results and shows the applicability of the new techniques.
AB - In this paper we provide a Bayesian interpretation of the conditional value at risk, CV@R, or super-quantile regression recently developed by Rockafellar et al. [Super-quantile regression with applications to buffered reliability, uncertainty quantification, and conditional value-at-risk, Eur. J. Oper. Res. 234 (2014), pp. 140–154]. Computations are based on particle filtering using a special posterior distribution consistent with the super-quantile concept. An empirical application to data used by RRM as well to another data set on energy prices confirms their results and shows the applicability of the new techniques.
KW - CV@R
KW - super-quantile regression
KW - risk measures
KW - Bayesian analysis
KW - particle filtering
U2 - 10.1080/02664763.2018.1450363
DO - 10.1080/02664763.2018.1450363
M3 - Journal article
JO - Journal of Applied Statistics
JF - Journal of Applied Statistics
SN - 0266-4763
ER -