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Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Published
  • P. D. O'Neil
  • G. O. Roberts
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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>1999
<mark>Journal</mark>Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society
Issue number1
Volume162
Number of pages9
Pages (from-to)121-129
Publication StatusPublished
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

The analysis of infectious disease data is usually complicated by the fact that real life epidemics are only partially observed. In particular, data concerning the process of infection are seldom available. Consequently, standard statistical techniques can become too complicated to implement effectively. In this paper Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are used to make inferences about the missing data as well as the unknown parameters of interest in a Bayesian framework. The methods are applied to real life data from disease outbreaks.