Submitted manuscript, 146 KB, PDF document
Research output: Working paper
Research output: Working paper
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TY - UNPB
T1 - Bubbles in House Prices and their Impact on Consumption: Evidence for the US
AU - Pavlidis, Efthymios
AU - Paya, I
AU - Peel, D
AU - Spiru, A M
PY - 2009
Y1 - 2009
N2 - This paper provides evidence that some aggregate and regional U.S. real house price indices exhibited a bubble in the last few years according to the Phillips et al. (2007) unit root test. We subsequently investigate whether house price acceleration (deceleration) had a signi.cant impact on consumption in an error correction mechanism implied by a wide class of optimizing models. Our results support the argument that real house prices have their major effect on consumption only during the bubble period.
AB - This paper provides evidence that some aggregate and regional U.S. real house price indices exhibited a bubble in the last few years according to the Phillips et al. (2007) unit root test. We subsequently investigate whether house price acceleration (deceleration) had a signi.cant impact on consumption in an error correction mechanism implied by a wide class of optimizing models. Our results support the argument that real house prices have their major effect on consumption only during the bubble period.
KW - Bubble
KW - House prices
KW - Consumption
M3 - Working paper
T3 - Economics Working Paper Series
BT - Bubbles in House Prices and their Impact on Consumption: Evidence for the US
PB - The Department of Economics
CY - Lancaster University
ER -