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Data analytics for trajectory selection and preference-model extrapolation in the European airspace

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Publication date30/08/2019
Host publicationOperations Research Proceedings 2018: Selected Papers of the Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (GOR), Brussels, Belgium, September 12-14, 2018
EditorsBernard Fortz, Martine Labbe'
Place of PublicationCham
Number of pages8
ISBN (electronic)9783030185008
ISBN (print)9783030184995
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Publication series

NameOpen Research Proceedings
ISSN (Print)0721-5924


Representing airspace users’ preferences in Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) mathematical models is becoming of high relevance.
ATFM models aim to reduce congestion (en-route and at both departure and destination airports) and maximize the Air Traffic Management (ATM) system efficiency by determining the best trajectory for each aircraft. In this framework, the a-priori selection of possible alternative trajectories for each flight plays a crucial role. In this work, we analyze initial trajectories queried from Eurocontrol DDR2 data source.
Clustering trajectories yields groups that are homogeneous with respect to known (geometry of the trajectory, speed) and partially known or unknown
factors (en-route charges, fuel consumption, weather, etc.). Associations
between grouped trajectories and potential choice-determinants are successively explored and evaluated, and the predictive value of the determinants is finally validated. For a given origin-destination pair, this ultimately leads to determining a set of flight trajectories and information on related airspace users’ preferences.