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Do we need research results from small basins for the further development of hydrological models?

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Published
Publication date1/12/2010
Host publicationStatus of Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins
Pages279-285
Number of pages7
Volume336
<mark>Original language</mark>English
EventInternational Workshop on Status and Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins - Goslar-Hahnenklee, Germany
Duration: 30/03/20092/04/2009

Conference

ConferenceInternational Workshop on Status and Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins
Country/TerritoryGermany
CityGoslar-Hahnenklee
Period30/03/092/04/09

Conference

ConferenceInternational Workshop on Status and Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins
Country/TerritoryGermany
CityGoslar-Hahnenklee
Period30/03/092/04/09

Abstract

Small basins are well suited to testing models as hypotheses about the function of the basin system, in that they may allow more detailed testing on internal state variables and tracer residence time data as well as the reproduction of hydrographs. However, in this type of hypothesis testing, account must be taken of the potential for epistemic errors in input data, evaluation observations and model structures as well as aleatory errors that can be dealt with by statistical theory. Treating errors as if they were aleatory might result in overestimation of the information content of observations in model inference. This then poses the question of what constitutes an adequate hypothesis test in the face of such (unknown) epistemic errors. One possible framework is outlined, making use of the limits of acceptability approach within the GLUE methodology. This results in treating model testing as a learning process, with the possibility of learning most from rejecting all the models tried.