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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Dominant species predict plant richness and biomass in global grasslands
AU - Zhang, Pengfei
AU - Seabloom, Eric W.
AU - Foo, Jasmine
AU - MacDougall, Andrew S.
AU - Harpole, W. Stanley
AU - Adler, Peter B.
AU - Hautier, Yann
AU - Eisenhauer, Nico
AU - Spohn, Marie
AU - Bakker, Jonathan D.
AU - Lekberg, Ylva
AU - Young, Alyssa L.
AU - Carbutt, Clinton
AU - Risch, Anita C.
AU - Peri, Pablo L.
AU - Smith, Nicholas G.
AU - Stevens, Carly J.
AU - Prober, Suzanne M.
AU - Knops, Johannes M. H.
AU - Wardle, Glenda M.
AU - Dickman, Christopher R.
AU - Ebeling, Anne
AU - Roscher, Christiane
AU - Martinson, Holly M.
AU - Martina, Jason P.
AU - Power, Sally A.
AU - Niu, Yujie
AU - Ren, Zhengwei
AU - Du, Guozhen
AU - Virtanen, Risto
AU - Tognetti, Pedro
AU - Tedder, Michelle J.
AU - Jentsch, Anke
AU - Catford, Jane A.
AU - Borer, Elizabeth T.
PY - 2025/5/13
Y1 - 2025/5/13
N2 - The bidirectional relationship between plant species richness and community biomass is often variable and poorly resolved in natural grassland ecosystems, impeding progress in predicting impacts of environmental changes. Most biological communities have long-tailed species abundance distributions (for example, biomass, cover, number of individuals), a general property that may provide predictive power for species richness and community biomass. Here we show mathematical relationships between community characteristics and the abundance of dominant species arising from long-tailed distributions and test these predictions using observational and experimental data from 76 grassland sites across 6 continents. We find that community biomass provides little predictive ability for community richness, consistent with previous findings. By contrast, the relative abundance of dominant species quantitatively predicts species richness, whereas their absolute abundance quantitatively predicts community biomass under both ambient and altered environmental conditions, as expected mathematically. These results are robust to the type of abundance measure used. Three types of simulated data further show the generality of these results. Our integrative framework, arising from a few dominant species and mathematical properties of species abundance distributions, fills a persistent gap in our ability to predict community richness and biomass under ambient and anthropogenically altered conditions.
AB - The bidirectional relationship between plant species richness and community biomass is often variable and poorly resolved in natural grassland ecosystems, impeding progress in predicting impacts of environmental changes. Most biological communities have long-tailed species abundance distributions (for example, biomass, cover, number of individuals), a general property that may provide predictive power for species richness and community biomass. Here we show mathematical relationships between community characteristics and the abundance of dominant species arising from long-tailed distributions and test these predictions using observational and experimental data from 76 grassland sites across 6 continents. We find that community biomass provides little predictive ability for community richness, consistent with previous findings. By contrast, the relative abundance of dominant species quantitatively predicts species richness, whereas their absolute abundance quantitatively predicts community biomass under both ambient and altered environmental conditions, as expected mathematically. These results are robust to the type of abundance measure used. Three types of simulated data further show the generality of these results. Our integrative framework, arising from a few dominant species and mathematical properties of species abundance distributions, fills a persistent gap in our ability to predict community richness and biomass under ambient and anthropogenically altered conditions.
U2 - 10.1038/s41559-025-02701-y
DO - 10.1038/s41559-025-02701-y
M3 - Journal article
JO - Nature Ecology and Evolution
JF - Nature Ecology and Evolution
SN - 2397-334X
ER -