Final published version
Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship
AU - Jarvis, Andrew
AU - Forster, Piers M.
PY - 2024/12/31
Y1 - 2024/12/31
N2 - Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.
AB - Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.
U2 - 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5
DO - 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5
M3 - Journal article
VL - 17
SP - 1222
EP - 1224
JO - Nature Geoscience
JF - Nature Geoscience
SN - 1752-0894
IS - 12
ER -