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Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship

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Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship. / Jarvis, Andrew; Forster, Piers M.
In: Nature Geoscience, Vol. 17, No. 12, 31.12.2024, p. 1222-1224.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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Jarvis A, Forster PM. Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship. Nature Geoscience. 2024 Dec 31;17(12):1222-1224. Epub 2024 Nov 11. doi: 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5

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Jarvis, Andrew ; Forster, Piers M. / Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship. In: Nature Geoscience. 2024 ; Vol. 17, No. 12. pp. 1222-1224.

Bibtex

@article{5109ac621b93440482855410b38d7885,
title = "Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship",
abstract = "Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.",
author = "Andrew Jarvis and Forster, {Piers M.}",
year = "2024",
month = dec,
day = "31",
doi = "10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5",
language = "English",
volume = "17",
pages = "1222--1224",
journal = "Nature Geoscience",
issn = "1752-0894",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",
number = "12",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship

AU - Jarvis, Andrew

AU - Forster, Piers M.

PY - 2024/12/31

Y1 - 2024/12/31

N2 - Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.

AB - Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.

U2 - 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5

DO - 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5

M3 - Journal article

VL - 17

SP - 1222

EP - 1224

JO - Nature Geoscience

JF - Nature Geoscience

SN - 1752-0894

IS - 12

ER -