Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimating individual-level risk in spatial epidemiology using spatially aggregated information on the population at risk
AU - Diggle, Peter J.
AU - Guan, Yongtao
AU - Hart, Anthony C.
AU - Paize, Fauzia
AU - Stanton, Michelle
PY - 2010/12
Y1 - 2010/12
N2 - We propose a novel alternative to case-control sampling for the estimation of individual-level risk in spatial epidemiology. Our approach uses weighted estimating equations to estimate regression parameters in the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process, when information on risk-factors is available at the individual level for cases, but only at a spatially aggregated level for the population at risk. We develop data-driven methods to select the weights used in the estimating equations and show through simulation that the choice of weights can have a major impact on efficiency of estimation. We develop a formal test to detect non-Poisson behavior in the underlying point process and assess the performance of the test using simulations of Poisson and Poisson cluster point processes. We apply our methods to data on the spatial distribution of childhood meningococcal disease cases in Merseyside, U.K. between 1981 and 2007.
AB - We propose a novel alternative to case-control sampling for the estimation of individual-level risk in spatial epidemiology. Our approach uses weighted estimating equations to estimate regression parameters in the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process, when information on risk-factors is available at the individual level for cases, but only at a spatially aggregated level for the population at risk. We develop data-driven methods to select the weights used in the estimating equations and show through simulation that the choice of weights can have a major impact on efficiency of estimation. We develop a formal test to detect non-Poisson behavior in the underlying point process and assess the performance of the test using simulations of Poisson and Poisson cluster point processes. We apply our methods to data on the spatial distribution of childhood meningococcal disease cases in Merseyside, U.K. between 1981 and 2007.
KW - Estimating equations
KW - Inhomogeneous spatial-point processes
KW - Meningococcal disease
KW - MENINGOCOCCAL DISEASE
KW - ECOLOGICAL INFERENCE
KW - SOCIAL DEPRIVATION
KW - ENGLAND
KW - INFLUENZA
KW - WALES
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=78651320529&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1198/jasa.2010.ap09323
DO - 10.1198/jasa.2010.ap09323
M3 - Journal article
VL - 105
SP - 1394
EP - 1402
JO - Journal of the American Statistical Association
JF - Journal of the American Statistical Association
SN - 1537-274X
IS - 492
ER -