Final published version
Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Evidential Network Modeling for Cyber-Physical System State Inference.
AU - Friedberg, Ivo
AU - Hong, Xin
AU - McLaughlin, Kieran
AU - Smith, Paul
AU - Miller, Paul C.
PY - 2017/12/31
Y1 - 2017/12/31
N2 - Cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have dependability requirements that are associated with controlling a physical process. Cyber-attacks can result in those requirements not being met. Consequently, it is important to monitor a CPS in order to identify deviations from normal operation. A major challenge is inferring the cause of these deviations in a trustworthy manner. This is necessary to support the implementation of correct and timely control decisions, in order to mitigate cyber-attacks and other causes of reduced dependability. This paper presents evidential networks as a solution to this problem. Through the evaluation of a representative use case for cyber-physical control systems, this paper shows novel approaches to integrate low-level sensors of different types, in particular those for cyber-attack detection, and reliabilities into evidential networks. The results presented indicate that evidential networks can identify system states with an accuracy that is comparable to approaches that use classical Bayesian probabilities to describe causality. However, in addition, evidential networks provide information about the uncertainty of a derived system state, which is a significant benefit, as it can be used to build trust in the results of automatic reasoning systems.
AB - Cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have dependability requirements that are associated with controlling a physical process. Cyber-attacks can result in those requirements not being met. Consequently, it is important to monitor a CPS in order to identify deviations from normal operation. A major challenge is inferring the cause of these deviations in a trustworthy manner. This is necessary to support the implementation of correct and timely control decisions, in order to mitigate cyber-attacks and other causes of reduced dependability. This paper presents evidential networks as a solution to this problem. Through the evaluation of a representative use case for cyber-physical control systems, this paper shows novel approaches to integrate low-level sensors of different types, in particular those for cyber-attack detection, and reliabilities into evidential networks. The results presented indicate that evidential networks can identify system states with an accuracy that is comparable to approaches that use classical Bayesian probabilities to describe causality. However, in addition, evidential networks provide information about the uncertainty of a derived system state, which is a significant benefit, as it can be used to build trust in the results of automatic reasoning systems.
U2 - 10.1109/ACCESS.2017.2718498
DO - 10.1109/ACCESS.2017.2718498
M3 - Journal article
VL - 5
SP - 17149
EP - 17164
JO - IEEE Access
JF - IEEE Access
SN - 2169-3536
ER -