Submitted manuscript, 495 KB, PDF document
Research output: Working paper
Research output: Working paper
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TY - UNPB
T1 - Financial frictions and the volatility of monetary policy in a DSGE model
AU - Nguyen, Anh
PY - 2015
Y1 - 2015
N2 - The paper investigates the impacts of the volatility of monetary policy on the economy in a DSGE model with financial frictions a la Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999). The model is estimated by the particle filter maximum likelihood estimator for the U.S. economy. Our results first show that a positive monetary volatility shock causes a contraction in economic activity: output, consumption, investment, hours, and real wages fall. Second, we argue that financial frictions amplify the effects of the shock via the financial accelerator mechanism. Third, we document that the size of the effects of the shock is relatively small mostly because of the counteracting response of monetary policy to the shock. Therefore, the impacts would be substantial if monetary policy was restrained to respond to changes in current conditions in the economy.
AB - The paper investigates the impacts of the volatility of monetary policy on the economy in a DSGE model with financial frictions a la Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999). The model is estimated by the particle filter maximum likelihood estimator for the U.S. economy. Our results first show that a positive monetary volatility shock causes a contraction in economic activity: output, consumption, investment, hours, and real wages fall. Second, we argue that financial frictions amplify the effects of the shock via the financial accelerator mechanism. Third, we document that the size of the effects of the shock is relatively small mostly because of the counteracting response of monetary policy to the shock. Therefore, the impacts would be substantial if monetary policy was restrained to respond to changes in current conditions in the economy.
KW - DSGE models
KW - financial accelerator
KW - Taylor rule
KW - monetary policy
KW - stochastic volatility
KW - particle filter
KW - higher-order approximations
KW - policy uncertainty
M3 - Working paper
T3 - Economics Working Paper Series
BT - Financial frictions and the volatility of monetary policy in a DSGE model
PB - Lancaster University, Department of Economics
CY - Lancaster
ER -