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Internal migration networks and mortality in home communities: Evidence from Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic

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Internal migration networks and mortality in home communities: Evidence from Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic. / Valsecchi, Michele; Durante, Ruben.
In: European Economic Review, Vol. 140, 103890, 30.11.2021.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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Valsecchi M, Durante R. Internal migration networks and mortality in home communities: Evidence from Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic. European Economic Review. 2021 Nov 30;140:103890. Epub 2021 Sept 27. doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103890

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@article{8bb175786a6e4bf5b9e64be48dcfc5b7,
title = "Internal migration networks and mortality in home communities: Evidence from Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic",
abstract = "Do internal migration networks benefit or harm their home communities in case of a communicable disease? Looking at the spread of Covid in Italy and using pre-determined province-to-province migration, excess mortality and mobile phone tracking data, we document that provinces with a greater share of migrants in outbreak areas show greater compliance with self-isolation measures (information mechanism), but also a greater population inflow from outbreak areas (carrier mechanism). For a subset of localities, the net effect on mortality is negative. However, for the average locality, the effect is positive and large, suggesting that the role of migrants as information providers is trumped by their role as virus carriers. The effect is quantitatively important and could be incorporated in epidemiological models forecasting the spread of communicable diseases.",
author = "Michele Valsecchi and Ruben Durante",
year = "2021",
month = nov,
day = "30",
doi = "10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103890",
language = "English",
volume = "140",
journal = "European Economic Review",
issn = "0014-2921",
publisher = "Elsevier",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Internal migration networks and mortality in home communities

T2 - Evidence from Italy during the Covid-19 pandemic

AU - Valsecchi, Michele

AU - Durante, Ruben

PY - 2021/11/30

Y1 - 2021/11/30

N2 - Do internal migration networks benefit or harm their home communities in case of a communicable disease? Looking at the spread of Covid in Italy and using pre-determined province-to-province migration, excess mortality and mobile phone tracking data, we document that provinces with a greater share of migrants in outbreak areas show greater compliance with self-isolation measures (information mechanism), but also a greater population inflow from outbreak areas (carrier mechanism). For a subset of localities, the net effect on mortality is negative. However, for the average locality, the effect is positive and large, suggesting that the role of migrants as information providers is trumped by their role as virus carriers. The effect is quantitatively important and could be incorporated in epidemiological models forecasting the spread of communicable diseases.

AB - Do internal migration networks benefit or harm their home communities in case of a communicable disease? Looking at the spread of Covid in Italy and using pre-determined province-to-province migration, excess mortality and mobile phone tracking data, we document that provinces with a greater share of migrants in outbreak areas show greater compliance with self-isolation measures (information mechanism), but also a greater population inflow from outbreak areas (carrier mechanism). For a subset of localities, the net effect on mortality is negative. However, for the average locality, the effect is positive and large, suggesting that the role of migrants as information providers is trumped by their role as virus carriers. The effect is quantitatively important and could be incorporated in epidemiological models forecasting the spread of communicable diseases.

U2 - 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103890

DO - 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103890

M3 - Journal article

VL - 140

JO - European Economic Review

JF - European Economic Review

SN - 0014-2921

M1 - 103890

ER -