Final published version
Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Interoperability of Statistical Models in Pandemic Preparedness
T2 - Principles and Reality
AU - Nicholson, George
AU - Blangiardo, Marta
AU - Briers, Mark
AU - Diggle, Peter J.
AU - Fjelde, Tor Erlend
AU - Ge, Hong
AU - Goudie, Robert J. B.
AU - Jersakova, Radka
AU - King, Ruairidh E.
AU - Lehmann, Brieuc C. L.
AU - Mallon, Ann-Marie
AU - Padellini, Tullia
AU - Teh, Yee Whye
AU - Holmes, Chris
AU - Richardson, Sylvia
PY - 2022/5/1
Y1 - 2022/5/1
N2 - We present interoperability as a guiding framework for statistical modelling to assist policy makers asking multiple questions using diverse datasets in the face of an evolving pandemic response. Interoperability provides an important set of principles for future pandemic preparedness, through the joint design and deployment of adaptable systems of statistical models for disease surveillance using probabilistic reasoning. We illustrate this through case studies for inferring and characterising spatial-temporal prevalence and reproduction numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections in England.
AB - We present interoperability as a guiding framework for statistical modelling to assist policy makers asking multiple questions using diverse datasets in the face of an evolving pandemic response. Interoperability provides an important set of principles for future pandemic preparedness, through the joint design and deployment of adaptable systems of statistical models for disease surveillance using probabilistic reasoning. We illustrate this through case studies for inferring and characterising spatial-temporal prevalence and reproduction numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections in England.
KW - Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
KW - General Mathematics
KW - Statistics and Probability
U2 - 10.1214/22-sts854
DO - 10.1214/22-sts854
M3 - Journal article
VL - 37
SP - 183
EP - 206
JO - Statistical Science
JF - Statistical Science
SN - 0883-4237
IS - 2
ER -