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TY - JOUR
T1 - Linex and double-linex regression for parameter estimation and forecasting
AU - Tsionas, Mike G.
PY - 2023/4/30
Y1 - 2023/4/30
N2 - The choice of an estimation method has received considerable attention in the Operations Research literature. In this paper we depart from the standard use of linex and double-linex loss functions which are widely used in parameter estimation and forecasting problems and we propose a non-standard use for them. Specifically, we propose to use the corresponding linex and double-linex error densities as models for the errors of a regression problem when more emphasis should be placed on over-estimation or under-estimation of errors. The new techniques are applied to synthetic as well real data concerning the role of management in production as well as to an application of forecasting volatility in intradaily data.
AB - The choice of an estimation method has received considerable attention in the Operations Research literature. In this paper we depart from the standard use of linex and double-linex loss functions which are widely used in parameter estimation and forecasting problems and we propose a non-standard use for them. Specifically, we propose to use the corresponding linex and double-linex error densities as models for the errors of a regression problem when more emphasis should be placed on over-estimation or under-estimation of errors. The new techniques are applied to synthetic as well real data concerning the role of management in production as well as to an application of forecasting volatility in intradaily data.
KW - Management Science and Operations Research
KW - General Decision Sciences
KW - Decision analysis
KW - Linex loss functions
KW - Regression problems
KW - Estimation bias
KW - Forecasting
U2 - 10.1007/s10479-022-05131-2
DO - 10.1007/s10479-022-05131-2
M3 - Journal article
VL - 323
SP - 229
EP - 245
JO - Annals of Operations Research
JF - Annals of Operations Research
SN - 0254-5330
IS - 1-2
ER -