Research output: Working paper
Research output: Working paper
}
TY - UNPB
T1 - Macroeconomic conditions and health in Britain: aggregation, dynamics and local area heterogeneity
AU - Janke, Katharina
AU - Lee, Kevin
AU - Propper, Carol
AU - Shields, Kalvinder
AU - Michael, Shields
PY - 2020/4/14
Y1 - 2020/4/14
N2 - We estimate a model that allows for dynamic and interdependent responses of morbidity in different local areas to economic conditions at the local and national level, with statistical selection of optimal local area. We apply this approach to quarterly British data on chronic health conditions for those of working age over the period 2002-2016. We find strong and robust counter-cyclical relationships for overall chronic health, and for five broad types of health conditions. Chronic health conditions therefore increase in poor economic times. There is considerable spatial heterogeneity across local areas, with the counter-cyclical relationship being strongest in poorer local areas with more traditional industrial structures. We find that feedback effects are important across local areas and dynamic effects that differ by health condition. Consequently, the standard panel data model commonly used in the literature considerably under-estimates the extent of the counter-cyclical relationship in the British context.
AB - We estimate a model that allows for dynamic and interdependent responses of morbidity in different local areas to economic conditions at the local and national level, with statistical selection of optimal local area. We apply this approach to quarterly British data on chronic health conditions for those of working age over the period 2002-2016. We find strong and robust counter-cyclical relationships for overall chronic health, and for five broad types of health conditions. Chronic health conditions therefore increase in poor economic times. There is considerable spatial heterogeneity across local areas, with the counter-cyclical relationship being strongest in poorer local areas with more traditional industrial structures. We find that feedback effects are important across local areas and dynamic effects that differ by health condition. Consequently, the standard panel data model commonly used in the literature considerably under-estimates the extent of the counter-cyclical relationship in the British context.
U2 - 10.1920/wp.ifs.2020.1220
DO - 10.1920/wp.ifs.2020.1220
M3 - Working paper
VL - WP20/12
T3 - IFS Working Paper Series
BT - Macroeconomic conditions and health in Britain: aggregation, dynamics and local area heterogeneity
PB - Institute for Fiscal Studies
ER -