Rights statement: The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 46 (5), 2022, © SAGE Publications Ltd, 2022 by SAGE Publications Ltd at the Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice page: https://journals.sagepub.com/home/etp on SAGE Journals Online: http://journals.sagepub.com/
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Risk
T2 - Collective Optimism of Small-Business Owners
AU - Patel, Pankaj C.
AU - Tsionas, Mike
N1 - The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 46 (5), 2022, © SAGE Publications Ltd, 2022 by SAGE Publications Ltd at the Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice page: https://journals.sagepub.com/home/etp on SAGE Journals Online: http://journals.sagepub.com/
PY - 2022/9/1
Y1 - 2022/9/1
N2 - How small-business owners assess uncertainty and risk in the macroeconomic environment to report optimism toward their business activity is an important research question for policymakers and academics alike. Drawing on a monthly optimism index and a variety of uncertainty and volatility (risk) trackers from January 1986 to June 2017, in line with the expectation that business owners dislike uncertainty in economic policy, economic policy uncertainty may lower optimism. Business investment and sentiment volatility, however, contributed positively to optimism. The findings provide preliminary implications for policymakers in targeting indicators salient to the optimism index of small-business owners.
AB - How small-business owners assess uncertainty and risk in the macroeconomic environment to report optimism toward their business activity is an important research question for policymakers and academics alike. Drawing on a monthly optimism index and a variety of uncertainty and volatility (risk) trackers from January 1986 to June 2017, in line with the expectation that business owners dislike uncertainty in economic policy, economic policy uncertainty may lower optimism. Business investment and sentiment volatility, however, contributed positively to optimism. The findings provide preliminary implications for policymakers in targeting indicators salient to the optimism index of small-business owners.
KW - risk
KW - uncertainty
KW - collective optimism
U2 - 10.1177/1042258720985475
DO - 10.1177/1042258720985475
M3 - Journal article
VL - 46
SP - 1402
EP - 1422
JO - Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice
JF - Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice
SN - 1042-2587
IS - 5
ER -