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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Mitigating climate change and ozone pollution will improve Chinese food security
AU - Li, Shouxiu
AU - Gao, Yang
AU - Zhang, Junxi
AU - Hong, Chaopeng
AU - Zhang, Shaoqing
AU - Chen, Deliang
AU - Wild, Oliver
AU - Feng, Zhaozhong
AU - Xu, Yansen
AU - Guo, Xiuwen
AU - Kou, Wenbin
AU - Yan, Feifan
AU - Ma, Mingchen
AU - Yao, Xiaohong
AU - Gao, Huiwang
AU - Davis, Steven J.
PY - 2025/2/21
Y1 - 2025/2/21
N2 - Competition for land, partly driven by the trade-off between ensuring sufficient food production and expanding forest carbon sinks, intensifies the challenge of addressing climate change. This issue is further exacerbated by damage to plant stomata from ground-level ozone, reducing crop yields. Stomatal opening is regulated by meteorological processes that may change significantly under warming climate, but this effect has been largely overlooked in prior studies of crop ozone damage. Here, we show historical crop losses across China are 39 Tg annually, valued at roughly $15 billion. In a scenario where carbon emissions reach net zero in 2060, projected crop production losses could decline most, enough to provide an additional 87,000 kcal per capita in China, or enabling a net absorption of 22 million tons of CO2 annually through reverting surplus cropland to natural ecosystems. Our findings provide policy-relevant information to support continued efforts toward strict pollution control and climate mitigation.
AB - Competition for land, partly driven by the trade-off between ensuring sufficient food production and expanding forest carbon sinks, intensifies the challenge of addressing climate change. This issue is further exacerbated by damage to plant stomata from ground-level ozone, reducing crop yields. Stomatal opening is regulated by meteorological processes that may change significantly under warming climate, but this effect has been largely overlooked in prior studies of crop ozone damage. Here, we show historical crop losses across China are 39 Tg annually, valued at roughly $15 billion. In a scenario where carbon emissions reach net zero in 2060, projected crop production losses could decline most, enough to provide an additional 87,000 kcal per capita in China, or enabling a net absorption of 22 million tons of CO2 annually through reverting surplus cropland to natural ecosystems. Our findings provide policy-relevant information to support continued efforts toward strict pollution control and climate mitigation.
KW - crop production
KW - Ozone
KW - stomata
KW - anthropogenic emissions
KW - climate change
U2 - 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.12.002
DO - 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.12.002
M3 - Journal article
VL - 8
JO - One Earth
JF - One Earth
SN - 2590-3322
IS - 2
M1 - 101166
ER -