Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source...
View graph of relations

Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Published

Standard

Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution. / Fiore, A. M.; Dentener, F. J.; Wild, O.; Cuvelier, C.; Schultz, M. G.; Hess, P.; Textor, C.; Schulz, M.; Doherty, R. M.; Horowitz, L. W.; MacKenzie, I. A.; Sanderson, M. G.; Shindell, D. T.; Stevenson, D. S.; Szopa, S.; Van Dingenen, R.; Zeng, G.; Atherton, C.; Bergmann, D.; Bey, I.; Carmichael, G.; Collins, W. J.; Duncan, B. N.; Faluvegi, G.; Folberth, G.; Gauss, M.; Gong, S.; Hauglustaine, D.; Holloway, T.; Isaksen, I. S. A.; Jacob, D. J.; Jonson, J. E.; Kaminski, J. W.; Keating, T. J.; Lupu, A.; Marmer, E.; Montanaro, V.; Park, R. J.; Pitari, G.; Pringle, K. J.; Pyle, J. A.; Schroeder, S.; Vivanco, M. G.; Wind, P.; Wojcik, G.; Wu, S.; Zuber, A.

In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 114, No. n/a, D04301, 17.02.2009, p. n/a.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Fiore, AM, Dentener, FJ, Wild, O, Cuvelier, C, Schultz, MG, Hess, P, Textor, C, Schulz, M, Doherty, RM, Horowitz, LW, MacKenzie, IA, Sanderson, MG, Shindell, DT, Stevenson, DS, Szopa, S, Van Dingenen, R, Zeng, G, Atherton, C, Bergmann, D, Bey, I, Carmichael, G, Collins, WJ, Duncan, BN, Faluvegi, G, Folberth, G, Gauss, M, Gong, S, Hauglustaine, D, Holloway, T, Isaksen, ISA, Jacob, DJ, Jonson, JE, Kaminski, JW, Keating, TJ, Lupu, A, Marmer, E, Montanaro, V, Park, RJ, Pitari, G, Pringle, KJ, Pyle, JA, Schroeder, S, Vivanco, MG, Wind, P, Wojcik, G, Wu, S & Zuber, A 2009, 'Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, vol. 114, no. n/a, D04301, pp. n/a. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010816

APA

Fiore, A. M., Dentener, F. J., Wild, O., Cuvelier, C., Schultz, M. G., Hess, P., Textor, C., Schulz, M., Doherty, R. M., Horowitz, L. W., MacKenzie, I. A., Sanderson, M. G., Shindell, D. T., Stevenson, D. S., Szopa, S., Van Dingenen, R., Zeng, G., Atherton, C., Bergmann, D., ... Zuber, A. (2009). Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 114(n/a), n/a. [D04301]. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010816

Vancouver

Fiore AM, Dentener FJ, Wild O, Cuvelier C, Schultz MG, Hess P et al. Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2009 Feb 17;114(n/a):n/a. D04301. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010816

Author

Fiore, A. M. ; Dentener, F. J. ; Wild, O. ; Cuvelier, C. ; Schultz, M. G. ; Hess, P. ; Textor, C. ; Schulz, M. ; Doherty, R. M. ; Horowitz, L. W. ; MacKenzie, I. A. ; Sanderson, M. G. ; Shindell, D. T. ; Stevenson, D. S. ; Szopa, S. ; Van Dingenen, R. ; Zeng, G. ; Atherton, C. ; Bergmann, D. ; Bey, I. ; Carmichael, G. ; Collins, W. J. ; Duncan, B. N. ; Faluvegi, G. ; Folberth, G. ; Gauss, M. ; Gong, S. ; Hauglustaine, D. ; Holloway, T. ; Isaksen, I. S. A. ; Jacob, D. J. ; Jonson, J. E. ; Kaminski, J. W. ; Keating, T. J. ; Lupu, A. ; Marmer, E. ; Montanaro, V. ; Park, R. J. ; Pitari, G. ; Pringle, K. J. ; Pyle, J. A. ; Schroeder, S. ; Vivanco, M. G. ; Wind, P. ; Wojcik, G. ; Wu, S. ; Zuber, A. / Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution. In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2009 ; Vol. 114, No. n/a. pp. n/a.

Bibtex

@article{e9f24f3cb06d430a909e7c3f542504af,
title = "Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution",
abstract = "Understanding the surface O-3 response over a {"}receptor{"} region to emission changes over a foreign {"}source{"} region is key to evaluating the potential gains from an international approach to abate ozone (O-3) pollution. We apply an ensemble of 21 global and hemispheric chemical transport models to estimate the spatial average surface O-3 response over east Asia (EA), Europe (EU), North America (NA), and south Asia (SA) to 20% decreases in anthropogenic emissions of the O-3 precursors, NOx, NMVOC, and CO (individually and combined), from each of these regions. We find that the ensemble mean surface O-3 concentrations in the base case (year 2001) simulation matches available observations throughout the year over EU but overestimates them by > 10 ppb during summer and early fall over the eastern United States and Japan. The sum of the O-3 responses to NOx, CO, and NMVOC decreases separately is approximately equal to that from a simultaneous reduction of all precursors. We define a continental-scale {"}import sensitivity{"} as the ratio of the O-3 response to the 20% reductions in foreign versus {"}domestic{"} (i.e., over the source region itself) emissions. For example, the combined reduction of emissions from the three foreign regions produces an ensemble spatial mean decrease of 0.6 ppb over EU (0.4 ppb from NA), less than the 0.8 ppb from the reduction of EU emissions, leading to an import sensitivity ratio of 0.7. The ensemble mean surface O-3 response to foreign emissions is largest in spring and late fall (0.7-0.9 ppb decrease in all regions from the combined precursor reductions in the three foreign regions), with import sensitivities ranging from 0.5 to 1.1 (responses to domestic emission reductions are 0.8-1.6 ppb). High O-3 values are much more sensitive to domestic emissions than to foreign emissions, as indicated by lower import sensitivities of 0.2 to 0.3 during July in EA, EU, and NA when O-3 levels are typically highest and by the weaker relative response of annual incidences of daily maximum 8-h average O-3 above 60 ppb to emission reductions in a foreign region(< 10-20% of that to domestic) as compared to the annual mean response (up to 50% of that to domestic). Applying the ensemble annual mean results to changes in anthropogenic emissions from 1996 to 2002, we estimate a Northern Hemispheric increase in background surface O-3 of about 0.1 ppb a(-1), at the low end of the 0.1-0.5 ppb a(-1) derived from observations. From an additional simulation in which global atmospheric methane was reduced, we infer that 20% reductions in anthropogenic methane emissions from a foreign source region would yield an O-3 response in a receptor region that roughly equals that produced by combined 20% reductions of anthropogenic NOx, NMVOC, and CO emissions from the foreign source",
keywords = "EASTERN UNITED-STATES, REGIONAL AIR-QUALITY, MICS-ASIA-II, TROPOSPHERIC OZONE, SURFACE OZONE, CARBON-MONOXIDE, NORTH-AMERICA, MACE-HEAD, BACKGROUND OZONE, TRANSATLANTIC TRANSPORT",
author = "Fiore, {A. M.} and Dentener, {F. J.} and O. Wild and C. Cuvelier and Schultz, {M. G.} and P. Hess and C. Textor and M. Schulz and Doherty, {R. M.} and Horowitz, {L. W.} and MacKenzie, {I. A.} and Sanderson, {M. G.} and Shindell, {D. T.} and Stevenson, {D. S.} and S. Szopa and {Van Dingenen}, R. and G. Zeng and C. Atherton and D. Bergmann and I. Bey and G. Carmichael and Collins, {W. J.} and Duncan, {B. N.} and G. Faluvegi and G. Folberth and M. Gauss and S. Gong and D. Hauglustaine and T. Holloway and Isaksen, {I. S. A.} and Jacob, {D. J.} and Jonson, {J. E.} and Kaminski, {J. W.} and Keating, {T. J.} and A. Lupu and E. Marmer and V. Montanaro and Park, {R. J.} and G. Pitari and Pringle, {K. J.} and Pyle, {J. A.} and S. Schroeder and Vivanco, {M. G.} and P. Wind and G. Wojcik and S. Wu and A. Zuber",
year = "2009",
month = feb,
day = "17",
doi = "10.1029/2008JD010816",
language = "English",
volume = "114",
pages = "n/a",
journal = "Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres",
issn = "0747-7309",
publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd",
number = "n/a",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution

AU - Fiore, A. M.

AU - Dentener, F. J.

AU - Wild, O.

AU - Cuvelier, C.

AU - Schultz, M. G.

AU - Hess, P.

AU - Textor, C.

AU - Schulz, M.

AU - Doherty, R. M.

AU - Horowitz, L. W.

AU - MacKenzie, I. A.

AU - Sanderson, M. G.

AU - Shindell, D. T.

AU - Stevenson, D. S.

AU - Szopa, S.

AU - Van Dingenen, R.

AU - Zeng, G.

AU - Atherton, C.

AU - Bergmann, D.

AU - Bey, I.

AU - Carmichael, G.

AU - Collins, W. J.

AU - Duncan, B. N.

AU - Faluvegi, G.

AU - Folberth, G.

AU - Gauss, M.

AU - Gong, S.

AU - Hauglustaine, D.

AU - Holloway, T.

AU - Isaksen, I. S. A.

AU - Jacob, D. J.

AU - Jonson, J. E.

AU - Kaminski, J. W.

AU - Keating, T. J.

AU - Lupu, A.

AU - Marmer, E.

AU - Montanaro, V.

AU - Park, R. J.

AU - Pitari, G.

AU - Pringle, K. J.

AU - Pyle, J. A.

AU - Schroeder, S.

AU - Vivanco, M. G.

AU - Wind, P.

AU - Wojcik, G.

AU - Wu, S.

AU - Zuber, A.

PY - 2009/2/17

Y1 - 2009/2/17

N2 - Understanding the surface O-3 response over a "receptor" region to emission changes over a foreign "source" region is key to evaluating the potential gains from an international approach to abate ozone (O-3) pollution. We apply an ensemble of 21 global and hemispheric chemical transport models to estimate the spatial average surface O-3 response over east Asia (EA), Europe (EU), North America (NA), and south Asia (SA) to 20% decreases in anthropogenic emissions of the O-3 precursors, NOx, NMVOC, and CO (individually and combined), from each of these regions. We find that the ensemble mean surface O-3 concentrations in the base case (year 2001) simulation matches available observations throughout the year over EU but overestimates them by > 10 ppb during summer and early fall over the eastern United States and Japan. The sum of the O-3 responses to NOx, CO, and NMVOC decreases separately is approximately equal to that from a simultaneous reduction of all precursors. We define a continental-scale "import sensitivity" as the ratio of the O-3 response to the 20% reductions in foreign versus "domestic" (i.e., over the source region itself) emissions. For example, the combined reduction of emissions from the three foreign regions produces an ensemble spatial mean decrease of 0.6 ppb over EU (0.4 ppb from NA), less than the 0.8 ppb from the reduction of EU emissions, leading to an import sensitivity ratio of 0.7. The ensemble mean surface O-3 response to foreign emissions is largest in spring and late fall (0.7-0.9 ppb decrease in all regions from the combined precursor reductions in the three foreign regions), with import sensitivities ranging from 0.5 to 1.1 (responses to domestic emission reductions are 0.8-1.6 ppb). High O-3 values are much more sensitive to domestic emissions than to foreign emissions, as indicated by lower import sensitivities of 0.2 to 0.3 during July in EA, EU, and NA when O-3 levels are typically highest and by the weaker relative response of annual incidences of daily maximum 8-h average O-3 above 60 ppb to emission reductions in a foreign region(< 10-20% of that to domestic) as compared to the annual mean response (up to 50% of that to domestic). Applying the ensemble annual mean results to changes in anthropogenic emissions from 1996 to 2002, we estimate a Northern Hemispheric increase in background surface O-3 of about 0.1 ppb a(-1), at the low end of the 0.1-0.5 ppb a(-1) derived from observations. From an additional simulation in which global atmospheric methane was reduced, we infer that 20% reductions in anthropogenic methane emissions from a foreign source region would yield an O-3 response in a receptor region that roughly equals that produced by combined 20% reductions of anthropogenic NOx, NMVOC, and CO emissions from the foreign source

AB - Understanding the surface O-3 response over a "receptor" region to emission changes over a foreign "source" region is key to evaluating the potential gains from an international approach to abate ozone (O-3) pollution. We apply an ensemble of 21 global and hemispheric chemical transport models to estimate the spatial average surface O-3 response over east Asia (EA), Europe (EU), North America (NA), and south Asia (SA) to 20% decreases in anthropogenic emissions of the O-3 precursors, NOx, NMVOC, and CO (individually and combined), from each of these regions. We find that the ensemble mean surface O-3 concentrations in the base case (year 2001) simulation matches available observations throughout the year over EU but overestimates them by > 10 ppb during summer and early fall over the eastern United States and Japan. The sum of the O-3 responses to NOx, CO, and NMVOC decreases separately is approximately equal to that from a simultaneous reduction of all precursors. We define a continental-scale "import sensitivity" as the ratio of the O-3 response to the 20% reductions in foreign versus "domestic" (i.e., over the source region itself) emissions. For example, the combined reduction of emissions from the three foreign regions produces an ensemble spatial mean decrease of 0.6 ppb over EU (0.4 ppb from NA), less than the 0.8 ppb from the reduction of EU emissions, leading to an import sensitivity ratio of 0.7. The ensemble mean surface O-3 response to foreign emissions is largest in spring and late fall (0.7-0.9 ppb decrease in all regions from the combined precursor reductions in the three foreign regions), with import sensitivities ranging from 0.5 to 1.1 (responses to domestic emission reductions are 0.8-1.6 ppb). High O-3 values are much more sensitive to domestic emissions than to foreign emissions, as indicated by lower import sensitivities of 0.2 to 0.3 during July in EA, EU, and NA when O-3 levels are typically highest and by the weaker relative response of annual incidences of daily maximum 8-h average O-3 above 60 ppb to emission reductions in a foreign region(< 10-20% of that to domestic) as compared to the annual mean response (up to 50% of that to domestic). Applying the ensemble annual mean results to changes in anthropogenic emissions from 1996 to 2002, we estimate a Northern Hemispheric increase in background surface O-3 of about 0.1 ppb a(-1), at the low end of the 0.1-0.5 ppb a(-1) derived from observations. From an additional simulation in which global atmospheric methane was reduced, we infer that 20% reductions in anthropogenic methane emissions from a foreign source region would yield an O-3 response in a receptor region that roughly equals that produced by combined 20% reductions of anthropogenic NOx, NMVOC, and CO emissions from the foreign source

KW - EASTERN UNITED-STATES

KW - REGIONAL AIR-QUALITY

KW - MICS-ASIA-II

KW - TROPOSPHERIC OZONE

KW - SURFACE OZONE

KW - CARBON-MONOXIDE

KW - NORTH-AMERICA

KW - MACE-HEAD

KW - BACKGROUND OZONE

KW - TRANSATLANTIC TRANSPORT

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=65649134570&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1029/2008JD010816

DO - 10.1029/2008JD010816

M3 - Journal article

VL - 114

SP - n/a

JO - Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

JF - Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

SN - 0747-7309

IS - n/a

M1 - D04301

ER -