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Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century. / Igneczi, Adam; Sole, Andrew J.; Livingstone, Stephen J. et al.
In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 43, No. 18, 28.09.2016, p. 9729-9738.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Igneczi, A, Sole, AJ, Livingstone, SJ, Leeson, AA, Fettweis, X, Selmes, N, Gourmelen, N & Briggs, K 2016, 'Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, no. 18, pp. 9729-9738. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070338

APA

Igneczi, A., Sole, A. J., Livingstone, S. J., Leeson, A. A., Fettweis, X., Selmes, N., Gourmelen, N., & Briggs, K. (2016). Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(18), 9729-9738. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070338

Vancouver

Igneczi A, Sole AJ, Livingstone SJ, Leeson AA, Fettweis X, Selmes N et al. Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters. 2016 Sept 28;43(18):9729-9738. Epub 2016 Sept 23. doi: 10.1002/2016GL070338

Author

Igneczi, Adam ; Sole, Andrew J. ; Livingstone, Stephen J. et al. / Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century. In: Geophysical Research Letters. 2016 ; Vol. 43, No. 18. pp. 9729-9738.

Bibtex

@article{3ade8b15b90a410d9f68bcffba56bad5,
title = "Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century",
abstract = "The formation and rapid drainage of supraglacial lakes (SGL) influences the mass balance and dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). Although SGLs are expected to spread inland during the 21st century due to atmospheric warming, less is known about their future spatial distribution and volume. We use GrIS surface elevation model and regional climate model outputs to show that at the end of the 21st century (2070–2099) approximately 9.8 ± 3.9 km3 (+113% compared to 1980-2009) and 12.6 ± 5 km3 (+174%) of meltwater could be stored in SGLs under moderate and high representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), respectively. The largest increase is expected in the northeastern sector of the GrIS (191% in RCP 4.5 and 320% in RCP 8.5), whereas in west Greenland, where the most SGLs are currently observed, the future increase will be relatively moderate (55% in RCP 4.5 and 68% in RCP 8.5).",
author = "Adam Igneczi and Sole, {Andrew J.} and Livingstone, {Stephen J.} and Leeson, {Amber Alexandra} and Xavier Fettweis and Nick Selmes and Noel Gourmelen and Kate Briggs",
year = "2016",
month = sep,
day = "28",
doi = "10.1002/2016GL070338",
language = "English",
volume = "43",
pages = "9729--9738",
journal = "Geophysical Research Letters",
issn = "0094-8276",
publisher = "John Wiley & Sons, Ltd",
number = "18",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Northeast sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet to undergo the greatest inland expansion of supraglacial lakes during the 21st century

AU - Igneczi, Adam

AU - Sole, Andrew J.

AU - Livingstone, Stephen J.

AU - Leeson, Amber Alexandra

AU - Fettweis, Xavier

AU - Selmes, Nick

AU - Gourmelen, Noel

AU - Briggs, Kate

PY - 2016/9/28

Y1 - 2016/9/28

N2 - The formation and rapid drainage of supraglacial lakes (SGL) influences the mass balance and dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). Although SGLs are expected to spread inland during the 21st century due to atmospheric warming, less is known about their future spatial distribution and volume. We use GrIS surface elevation model and regional climate model outputs to show that at the end of the 21st century (2070–2099) approximately 9.8 ± 3.9 km3 (+113% compared to 1980-2009) and 12.6 ± 5 km3 (+174%) of meltwater could be stored in SGLs under moderate and high representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), respectively. The largest increase is expected in the northeastern sector of the GrIS (191% in RCP 4.5 and 320% in RCP 8.5), whereas in west Greenland, where the most SGLs are currently observed, the future increase will be relatively moderate (55% in RCP 4.5 and 68% in RCP 8.5).

AB - The formation and rapid drainage of supraglacial lakes (SGL) influences the mass balance and dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). Although SGLs are expected to spread inland during the 21st century due to atmospheric warming, less is known about their future spatial distribution and volume. We use GrIS surface elevation model and regional climate model outputs to show that at the end of the 21st century (2070–2099) approximately 9.8 ± 3.9 km3 (+113% compared to 1980-2009) and 12.6 ± 5 km3 (+174%) of meltwater could be stored in SGLs under moderate and high representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), respectively. The largest increase is expected in the northeastern sector of the GrIS (191% in RCP 4.5 and 320% in RCP 8.5), whereas in west Greenland, where the most SGLs are currently observed, the future increase will be relatively moderate (55% in RCP 4.5 and 68% in RCP 8.5).

U2 - 10.1002/2016GL070338

DO - 10.1002/2016GL070338

M3 - Journal article

VL - 43

SP - 9729

EP - 9738

JO - Geophysical Research Letters

JF - Geophysical Research Letters

SN - 0094-8276

IS - 18

ER -