Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > On the relevance of earnings components: valuat...

Electronic data

View graph of relations

On the relevance of earnings components: valuation and forecasting links

Research output: Working paper

Publication date2000
Place of PublicationLancaster University
PublisherThe Department of Accounting and Finance
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Publication series

NameAccounting and Finance Working Paper Series


In this paper we analyze the links between the informational relevance of earnings components for valuation and for forecasting abnormal earnings. We show that forecasting irrelevance implies valuation irrelevance. However, except in the case where aggregate earnings is the sufficient earnings construct for valuation and forecasting, valuation irrelevance does not imply forecasting irrelevance. Additionally, we show that to be irrelevant for valuation and forecasting, an earnings component need not be unpredictable. Our analysis has implications for the design and interpretation of empirical tests of informational relevance. It also has potential implications for practical investment analysis. Generally, value estimates based on aggregate earnings are expected to be less precise than value estimates based on knowledge of earnings components and their relation to other accounting items.