Final published version
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Price convergence between credit default swap and put option
T2 - New evidence
AU - Chan, Ka Kei
AU - Kolokolova, Olga
AU - Lin, Ming-Tsung
AU - Poon, Ser Huang
PY - 2023/6/30
Y1 - 2023/6/30
N2 - Credit default swaps and deep out-of-the-money put options can be used for credit protection, but these markets are not perfectly integrated, leading to different implied hazard rates. The differences in the implied hazard rates are linked to deviations between consensus rating-based hazard rate curves in the two markets, and a residual component related to market frictions. We show that both components diminish over time, but their convergence is asynchronous. A trading strategy based on a joint signal from the curve and residual differences outperforms a conventional trading approach that relies on the absolute differences between the implied hazard rates. Hedge funds are likely to exploit within-market inefficiencies and deviations from rating-based curve, but they do not seem to profit from market segmentation.
AB - Credit default swaps and deep out-of-the-money put options can be used for credit protection, but these markets are not perfectly integrated, leading to different implied hazard rates. The differences in the implied hazard rates are linked to deviations between consensus rating-based hazard rate curves in the two markets, and a residual component related to market frictions. We show that both components diminish over time, but their convergence is asynchronous. A trading strategy based on a joint signal from the curve and residual differences outperforms a conventional trading approach that relies on the absolute differences between the implied hazard rates. Hedge funds are likely to exploit within-market inefficiencies and deviations from rating-based curve, but they do not seem to profit from market segmentation.
KW - Convergence
KW - Credit default swap (CDS)
KW - Deep out-of-the-money put option
KW - Market segmentation
KW - Trading strategy
U2 - 10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.03.008
DO - 10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.03.008
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85150799954
VL - 72
SP - 188
EP - 213
JO - Journal of Empirical Finance
JF - Journal of Empirical Finance
SN - 0927-5398
ER -