Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Product variety arising from hedging in the fashion supply chains
AU - Vaagen, Hajnalka
AU - Wallace, Stein W
PY - 2008/8
Y1 - 2008/8
N2 - Consider a well-defined fashion apparel category, where the variants are distinguished by style and colour, and are subject to two equally likely states of the world: State1 when some variants become popular and others unpopular, and State2 when the reverse takes place. We analyse the optimal portfolio and variety arising from hedging against uncertainty triggered by the states, by integrating the Markowitz and the Newsboy models, while carefully considering demand correlations. We show that due to the complex structure of the uncertainty, building hedging portfolios with competing items is necessary for optimality. We also show how mis-specifying the distributions can lead to very bad trade-offs between risk and expected profit, caused by a lack of proper hedging.
AB - Consider a well-defined fashion apparel category, where the variants are distinguished by style and colour, and are subject to two equally likely states of the world: State1 when some variants become popular and others unpopular, and State2 when the reverse takes place. We analyse the optimal portfolio and variety arising from hedging against uncertainty triggered by the states, by integrating the Markowitz and the Newsboy models, while carefully considering demand correlations. We show that due to the complex structure of the uncertainty, building hedging portfolios with competing items is necessary for optimality. We also show how mis-specifying the distributions can lead to very bad trade-offs between risk and expected profit, caused by a lack of proper hedging.
KW - Fashion
KW - Newsboy
KW - Mean variance
KW - Hedging
KW - Correlations
KW - Bi-modal distributions
U2 - 10.1016/j.ijpe.2007.11.013
DO - 10.1016/j.ijpe.2007.11.013
M3 - Journal article
VL - 114
SP - 431
EP - 455
JO - International Journal of Production Economics
JF - International Journal of Production Economics
SN - 0925-5273
IS - 2
ER -