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Research output: Working paper
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TY - UNPB
T1 - Protest voting in the laboratory
AU - Louis, Philippos
AU - Troumpounis, Orestis
AU - Tsakas, Nikolaos
AU - Xefteris, Dimitrios
PY - 2020/2
Y1 - 2020/2
N2 - Formal analysis predicts that the likelihood of an electoral accident depends on the preference intensity for a successful protest, but not on the protest's popularity: an increase in protest's popularity is fully offset by a reduction in the individual probability of casting a protest vote. By conducting the first laboratory experiment on protest voting, we find strong evidence in favor of the first prediction and qualified support for the latter. While the offset effect is present, it is not as strong as the theory predicts: protest candidates gain both by fanaticising existing protestersand by expanding the protest's popular base.
AB - Formal analysis predicts that the likelihood of an electoral accident depends on the preference intensity for a successful protest, but not on the protest's popularity: an increase in protest's popularity is fully offset by a reduction in the individual probability of casting a protest vote. By conducting the first laboratory experiment on protest voting, we find strong evidence in favor of the first prediction and qualified support for the latter. While the offset effect is present, it is not as strong as the theory predicts: protest candidates gain both by fanaticising existing protestersand by expanding the protest's popular base.
KW - protest voting
KW - electoral accident
KW - coordination
KW - laboratory experiment
M3 - Working paper
T3 - Economics Working Papers Series
BT - Protest voting in the laboratory
PB - Lancaster University, Department of Economics
CY - Lancaster
ER -