Rights statement: The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, National Institute Economic Review, 232 (1), 2015, © SAGE Publications Ltd, 2015 by SAGE Publications Ltd at the National Institute Economic Review page: http://ner.sagepub.com/ on SAGE Journals Online: http://online.sagepub.com/
Submitted manuscript, 402 KB, PDF document
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Rank-order tournaments, probability of winning and investing in talent
T2 - evidence from Champions’ League qualifying rules
AU - Green, Colin
AU - Lozano, Fernando
AU - Simmons, Robert
N1 - The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, National Institute Economic Review, 232 (1), 2015, © SAGE Publications Ltd, 2015 by SAGE Publications Ltd at the National Institute Economic Review page: http://ner.sagepub.com/ on SAGE Journals Online: http://online.sagepub.com/
PY - 2015/5
Y1 - 2015/5
N2 - We analyse how a change in the probability of winning a tournament affects an agent's effort using the qualification rules for entry into the group and playoff stages of the UEFA Champions' League. Our results suggest that increasing the number of slots that a national league gets in the Champions' League leads to increases in investment in talent ex ante. This effect is largest among the teams that in the previous season just failed to qualify. This suggests that changes in prize structure leads to changes in investment decisions amongst those clubs most affected at the margin. However, we also find that incumbent teams that have already qualified for the Champions' League simultaneously raise their efforts, consistent with the occurrence of an arms race among top European football teams.
AB - We analyse how a change in the probability of winning a tournament affects an agent's effort using the qualification rules for entry into the group and playoff stages of the UEFA Champions' League. Our results suggest that increasing the number of slots that a national league gets in the Champions' League leads to increases in investment in talent ex ante. This effect is largest among the teams that in the previous season just failed to qualify. This suggests that changes in prize structure leads to changes in investment decisions amongst those clubs most affected at the margin. However, we also find that incumbent teams that have already qualified for the Champions' League simultaneously raise their efforts, consistent with the occurrence of an arms race among top European football teams.
KW - Champions' League
KW - tournaments
KW - effort
KW - payroll
U2 - 10.1177/002795011523200104
DO - 10.1177/002795011523200104
M3 - Journal article
VL - 232
SP - R30-R40
JO - National Institute Economic Review
JF - National Institute Economic Review
SN - 0027-9501
IS - 1
ER -