Final published version
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target
AU - Wollenberg, Eva
AU - Richards, Meryl
AU - Smith, Pete
AU - Havlík, Petr
AU - Obersteiner, Michael
AU - Tubiello, Francesco N.
AU - Herold, Martin
AU - Gerber, Pierre
AU - Carter, Sarah
AU - Reisinger, Andrew
AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.
AU - Dickie, Amy
AU - Neufeldt, Henry
AU - Sander, Björn O.
AU - Wassmann, Reiner
AU - Sommer, Rolf
AU - Amonette, James E.
AU - Falcucci, Alessandra
AU - Herrero, Mario
AU - Opio, Carolyn
AU - Roman-Cuesta, Rosa Maria
AU - Stehfest, Elke
AU - Westhoek, Henk
AU - Ortiz-Monasterio, Ivan
AU - Sapkota, Tek
AU - Rufino, Mariana C.
AU - Thornton, Philip K.
AU - Verchot, Louis
AU - West, Paul C.
AU - Soussana, Jean-François
AU - Baedeker, Tobias
AU - Sadler, Marc
AU - Vermeulen, Sonja
AU - Campbell, Bruce M.
PY - 2016/11/14
Y1 - 2016/11/14
N2 - More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.
AB - More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.
KW - agriculture
KW - climate change
KW - integrated assessment modeling
KW - mitigation
KW - policy
KW - target
KW - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
U2 - 10.1111/gcb.13340
DO - 10.1111/gcb.13340
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 27185416
VL - 22
SP - 3859
EP - 3864
JO - Global Change Biology
JF - Global Change Biology
SN - 1354-1013
IS - 12
ER -