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Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005).

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Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005). / Snook, Brent; Taylor, Paul J.; Bennell, Craig.

In: Applied Cognitive Psychology, Vol. 19, No. 5, 07.2005, p. 655-661.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Snook, B, Taylor, PJ & Bennell, C 2005, 'Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005).', Applied Cognitive Psychology, vol. 19, no. 5, pp. 655-661. https://doi.org/10.1002/acp.1142

APA

Snook, B., Taylor, P. J., & Bennell, C. (2005). Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005). Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19(5), 655-661. https://doi.org/10.1002/acp.1142

Vancouver

Snook B, Taylor PJ, Bennell C. Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005). Applied Cognitive Psychology. 2005 Jul;19(5):655-661. https://doi.org/10.1002/acp.1142

Author

Snook, Brent ; Taylor, Paul J. ; Bennell, Craig. / Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005). In: Applied Cognitive Psychology. 2005 ; Vol. 19, No. 5. pp. 655-661.

Bibtex

@article{bf26cef995d94eb4b3c2134c9a809127,
title = "Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005).",
abstract = "In {\textquoteleft}Geographic profiling: The fast, frugal, and accurate way{\textquoteright} (Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2004, vol. 18, pp. 105–121), we demonstrated that most people are able to predict the home location of a serial offender by using a simple prediction strategy that exploits patterns found in the offender{\textquoteright}s spatial behaviour. In this issue of Applied Cognitive Psychology, Rossmo challenges the validity of this research with respect to our data selection and methods of analysis. In response, we argue that: his proposed method for selecting data is unscientific; there is little evidence to support his claim that five crimes are required before profiles can be accurate; search area as a measure of profile accuracy has not yet been shown to be more useful than error distance; the heuristics we have examined are defined correctly and do lead to improvements in profile accuracy; and computerized geographic profiling is not a free service. Our comments aim to generate constraint in those intent on building confidence in computerized geographic profiling systems in the absence of strong empirical evidence to support their use.",
author = "Brent Snook and Taylor, {Paul J.} and Craig Bennell",
year = "2005",
month = jul,
doi = "10.1002/acp.1142",
language = "English",
volume = "19",
pages = "655--661",
journal = "Applied Cognitive Psychology",
issn = "0888-4080",
publisher = "John Wiley and Sons Ltd",
number = "5",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Shortcuts to Geographic Profiling Success: A Reply to Rossmo (2005).

AU - Snook, Brent

AU - Taylor, Paul J.

AU - Bennell, Craig

PY - 2005/7

Y1 - 2005/7

N2 - In ‘Geographic profiling: The fast, frugal, and accurate way’ (Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2004, vol. 18, pp. 105–121), we demonstrated that most people are able to predict the home location of a serial offender by using a simple prediction strategy that exploits patterns found in the offender’s spatial behaviour. In this issue of Applied Cognitive Psychology, Rossmo challenges the validity of this research with respect to our data selection and methods of analysis. In response, we argue that: his proposed method for selecting data is unscientific; there is little evidence to support his claim that five crimes are required before profiles can be accurate; search area as a measure of profile accuracy has not yet been shown to be more useful than error distance; the heuristics we have examined are defined correctly and do lead to improvements in profile accuracy; and computerized geographic profiling is not a free service. Our comments aim to generate constraint in those intent on building confidence in computerized geographic profiling systems in the absence of strong empirical evidence to support their use.

AB - In ‘Geographic profiling: The fast, frugal, and accurate way’ (Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2004, vol. 18, pp. 105–121), we demonstrated that most people are able to predict the home location of a serial offender by using a simple prediction strategy that exploits patterns found in the offender’s spatial behaviour. In this issue of Applied Cognitive Psychology, Rossmo challenges the validity of this research with respect to our data selection and methods of analysis. In response, we argue that: his proposed method for selecting data is unscientific; there is little evidence to support his claim that five crimes are required before profiles can be accurate; search area as a measure of profile accuracy has not yet been shown to be more useful than error distance; the heuristics we have examined are defined correctly and do lead to improvements in profile accuracy; and computerized geographic profiling is not a free service. Our comments aim to generate constraint in those intent on building confidence in computerized geographic profiling systems in the absence of strong empirical evidence to support their use.

U2 - 10.1002/acp.1142

DO - 10.1002/acp.1142

M3 - Journal article

VL - 19

SP - 655

EP - 661

JO - Applied Cognitive Psychology

JF - Applied Cognitive Psychology

SN - 0888-4080

IS - 5

ER -