Final published version
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Spatial variation and inequities in antenatal care coverage in Kenya, Uganda and mainland Tanzania using model-based geostatistics
T2 - a socioeconomic and geographical accessibility lens
AU - Macharia, Peter M.
AU - Joseph, Noel K.
AU - Nalwadda, Gorrette Kayondo
AU - Mwilike, Beatrice
AU - Banke-Thomas, Aduragbemi
AU - Benova, Lenka
AU - Johnson, Olatunji
PY - 2022/12/6
Y1 - 2022/12/6
N2 - BACKGROUND: Pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) experience the highest levels of maternal mortality and stillbirths due to predominantly avoidable causes. Antenatal care (ANC) can prevent, detect, alleviate, or manage these causes. While eight ANC contacts are now recommended, coverage of the previous minimum of four visits (ANC4+) remains low and inequitable in SSA.METHODS: We modelled ANC4+ coverage and likelihood of attaining district-level target coverage of 70% across three equity stratifiers (household wealth, maternal education, and travel time to the nearest health facility) based on data from malaria indicator surveys in Kenya (2020), Uganda (2018/19) and Tanzania (2017). Geostatistical models were fitted to predict ANC4+ coverage and compute exceedance probability for target coverage. The number of pregnant women without ANC4+ were computed. Prediction was at 3 km spatial resolution and aggregated at national and district -level for sub-national planning.RESULTS: About six in ten women reported ANC4+ visits, meaning that approximately 3 million women in the three countries had 20,000 women having CONCLUSIONS: These findings will be invaluable to policymakers for annual appropriations of resources as part of efforts to reduce maternal deaths and stillbirths.
AB - BACKGROUND: Pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) experience the highest levels of maternal mortality and stillbirths due to predominantly avoidable causes. Antenatal care (ANC) can prevent, detect, alleviate, or manage these causes. While eight ANC contacts are now recommended, coverage of the previous minimum of four visits (ANC4+) remains low and inequitable in SSA.METHODS: We modelled ANC4+ coverage and likelihood of attaining district-level target coverage of 70% across three equity stratifiers (household wealth, maternal education, and travel time to the nearest health facility) based on data from malaria indicator surveys in Kenya (2020), Uganda (2018/19) and Tanzania (2017). Geostatistical models were fitted to predict ANC4+ coverage and compute exceedance probability for target coverage. The number of pregnant women without ANC4+ were computed. Prediction was at 3 km spatial resolution and aggregated at national and district -level for sub-national planning.RESULTS: About six in ten women reported ANC4+ visits, meaning that approximately 3 million women in the three countries had 20,000 women having CONCLUSIONS: These findings will be invaluable to policymakers for annual appropriations of resources as part of efforts to reduce maternal deaths and stillbirths.
KW - Research
KW - Antenatal care
KW - Inequities
KW - Household wealth
KW - Maternal education
KW - Travel time to healthcare
KW - Model-based geostatistics
KW - Subnational
KW - District
KW - Kenya
KW - Uganda
KW - Tanzania
U2 - 10.1186/s12884-022-05238-1
DO - 10.1186/s12884-022-05238-1
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 36474193
VL - 22
JO - BMC Pregnancy Childbirth
JF - BMC Pregnancy Childbirth
SN - 1471-2393
IS - 1
M1 - 908
ER -