Standard
Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards. /
Beven, Keith; Younger, Philip; Freer, Jim.
Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2014. p. 13-22.
Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
Harvard
Beven, K, Younger, P & Freer, J 2014,
Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards. in
Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), pp. 13-22, 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014, Liverpool, United Kingdom,
13/07/14.
https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.002
APA
Beven, K., Younger, P., & Freer, J. (2014).
Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards. In
Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 (pp. 13-22). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE).
https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.002
Vancouver
Beven K, Younger P, Freer J.
Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards. In Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). 2014. p. 13-22 doi: 10.1061/9780784413609.002
Author
Beven, Keith ; Younger, Philip ; Freer, Jim. /
Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2014. pp. 13-22
Bibtex
@inproceedings{637efdad34b84f6d93a12b5b32e0221f,
title = "Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards",
abstract = "Epistemic uncertainties create difficulties for the quantitative estimation of uncertainties associated with environmental models. The nature of the issues involved is discussed, particularly in how to assign likelihood values to models when the forcing data and evaluation data might both be subject to epistemic uncertainties. A case study of a rainfall-runoff model of the River Brue catchment is developed with the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology. Model evaluation is carried out using limits of acceptability set from considerations of the available data prior to running a model, while the errors associated with a model are treated non-parametrically for different parts of the hydrograph.",
author = "Keith Beven and Philip Younger and Jim Freer",
year = "2014",
month = jan,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1061/9780784413609.002",
language = "English",
pages = "13--22",
booktitle = "Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk",
publisher = "American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)",
address = "United States",
note = "2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 ; Conference date: 13-07-2014 Through 16-07-2014",
}
RIS
TY - GEN
T1 - Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards
AU - Beven, Keith
AU - Younger, Philip
AU - Freer, Jim
PY - 2014/1/1
Y1 - 2014/1/1
N2 - Epistemic uncertainties create difficulties for the quantitative estimation of uncertainties associated with environmental models. The nature of the issues involved is discussed, particularly in how to assign likelihood values to models when the forcing data and evaluation data might both be subject to epistemic uncertainties. A case study of a rainfall-runoff model of the River Brue catchment is developed with the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology. Model evaluation is carried out using limits of acceptability set from considerations of the available data prior to running a model, while the errors associated with a model are treated non-parametrically for different parts of the hydrograph.
AB - Epistemic uncertainties create difficulties for the quantitative estimation of uncertainties associated with environmental models. The nature of the issues involved is discussed, particularly in how to assign likelihood values to models when the forcing data and evaluation data might both be subject to epistemic uncertainties. A case study of a rainfall-runoff model of the River Brue catchment is developed with the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology. Model evaluation is carried out using limits of acceptability set from considerations of the available data prior to running a model, while the errors associated with a model are treated non-parametrically for different parts of the hydrograph.
U2 - 10.1061/9780784413609.002
DO - 10.1061/9780784413609.002
M3 - Conference contribution/Paper
AN - SCOPUS:84933525377
SP - 13
EP - 22
BT - Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
PB - American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
T2 - 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
Y2 - 13 July 2014 through 16 July 2014
ER -
