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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The economic effects of a counterinsurgency policy in India
T2 - A synthetic control analysis
AU - Singhal, Saurabh
AU - Nilakantan, Rahul
PY - 2016/12
Y1 - 2016/12
N2 - Using the synthetic control method, we analyze the economic effects of a unique counterinsurgency response to the Naxalite insurgency in India. Of all the states affected by Naxalite violence, only one state, Andhra Pradesh, raised a specially trained and equipped police force in 1989 known as the Greyhounds, dedicated to combating the Naxalite insurgency. Compared to a synthetic control region constructed from states affected by Naxalite violence that did not raise a similar police force, we find that the per capita NSDP of Andhra Pradesh increased significantly over the period 1989–2000. Further, we find that the effects on the manufacturing sector are particularly strong. Placebo tests indicate that these results are credible and various difference-in-difference specifications using state and industry level panel data further corroborate these findings.
AB - Using the synthetic control method, we analyze the economic effects of a unique counterinsurgency response to the Naxalite insurgency in India. Of all the states affected by Naxalite violence, only one state, Andhra Pradesh, raised a specially trained and equipped police force in 1989 known as the Greyhounds, dedicated to combating the Naxalite insurgency. Compared to a synthetic control region constructed from states affected by Naxalite violence that did not raise a similar police force, we find that the per capita NSDP of Andhra Pradesh increased significantly over the period 1989–2000. Further, we find that the effects on the manufacturing sector are particularly strong. Placebo tests indicate that these results are credible and various difference-in-difference specifications using state and industry level panel data further corroborate these findings.
KW - Synthetic control method
KW - Counterinsurgency
KW - Conflict
KW - Naxalite insurgency
KW - India
U2 - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.08.012
DO - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.08.012
M3 - Journal article
VL - 45
SP - 1
EP - 17
JO - European Journal of Political Economy
JF - European Journal of Political Economy
SN - 0176-2680
ER -