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The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach

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The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach. / Bradley, Steven; Crouchley, Robert.
In: Empirical Economics, Vol. 59, 01.10.2020, p. 1799–1831.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Bradley, S & Crouchley, R 2020, 'The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach', Empirical Economics, vol. 59, pp. 1799–1831. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8

APA

Bradley, S., & Crouchley, R. (2020). The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach. Empirical Economics, 59, 1799–1831. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8

Vancouver

Bradley S, Crouchley R. The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach. Empirical Economics. 2020 Oct 1;59:1799–1831. Epub 2019 Apr 16. doi: 10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8

Author

Bradley, Steven ; Crouchley, Robert. / The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity : A simultaneous equations approach. In: Empirical Economics. 2020 ; Vol. 59. pp. 1799–1831.

Bibtex

@article{bbd86cadf5b649e5a60da4661fd16e88,
title = "The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: A simultaneous equations approach",
abstract = "We analyse the relationships between test scores, truancy and labour market outcomes for youths. Our econometric approach enables us to disentangle the observable direct and indirect effects of truancy and test scores on the risk of unemployment or {\textquoteleft}Not in Education, Employment or Training{\textquoteright} (NEET) from their unobserved effects. Using data for England and Wales, we show that models of youth unemployment and NEET that ignore the correlation between the unobservable determinants of test scores and truancy will lead to misleading inference about the strength of their effects. Truancy has an indirect observed effect on labour market outcomes via its effect on test scores, and a weak direct effect. The unobserved component of truancy has a direct effect on labour market outcomes. Test scores have a direct effect on those outcomes, but also mitigate the detrimental effects of truancy. Our analysis raises important implications for education policy.",
keywords = "Test scores,, truancy and, labour market outcomes, trivariate models.",
author = "Steven Bradley and Robert Crouchley",
year = "2020",
month = oct,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8",
language = "English",
volume = "59",
pages = "1799–1831",
journal = "Empirical Economics",
issn = "0377-7332",
publisher = "Springer-Verlag",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity

T2 - A simultaneous equations approach

AU - Bradley, Steven

AU - Crouchley, Robert

PY - 2020/10/1

Y1 - 2020/10/1

N2 - We analyse the relationships between test scores, truancy and labour market outcomes for youths. Our econometric approach enables us to disentangle the observable direct and indirect effects of truancy and test scores on the risk of unemployment or ‘Not in Education, Employment or Training’ (NEET) from their unobserved effects. Using data for England and Wales, we show that models of youth unemployment and NEET that ignore the correlation between the unobservable determinants of test scores and truancy will lead to misleading inference about the strength of their effects. Truancy has an indirect observed effect on labour market outcomes via its effect on test scores, and a weak direct effect. The unobserved component of truancy has a direct effect on labour market outcomes. Test scores have a direct effect on those outcomes, but also mitigate the detrimental effects of truancy. Our analysis raises important implications for education policy.

AB - We analyse the relationships between test scores, truancy and labour market outcomes for youths. Our econometric approach enables us to disentangle the observable direct and indirect effects of truancy and test scores on the risk of unemployment or ‘Not in Education, Employment or Training’ (NEET) from their unobserved effects. Using data for England and Wales, we show that models of youth unemployment and NEET that ignore the correlation between the unobservable determinants of test scores and truancy will lead to misleading inference about the strength of their effects. Truancy has an indirect observed effect on labour market outcomes via its effect on test scores, and a weak direct effect. The unobserved component of truancy has a direct effect on labour market outcomes. Test scores have a direct effect on those outcomes, but also mitigate the detrimental effects of truancy. Our analysis raises important implications for education policy.

KW - Test scores,

KW - truancy and

KW - labour market outcomes

KW - trivariate models.

U2 - 10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8

DO - 10.1007/s00181-019-01691-8

M3 - Journal article

VL - 59

SP - 1799

EP - 1831

JO - Empirical Economics

JF - Empirical Economics

SN - 0377-7332

ER -