Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > THE EXPANSIONARY EFFECTS OF HOUSING CREDIT SUPP...

Electronic data

  • LancasterWP2023_008

    Final published version, 408 KB, PDF document

    Available under license: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

View graph of relations

THE EXPANSIONARY EFFECTS OF HOUSING CREDIT SUPPLY SHOCKS

Research output: Working paper

Published
Publication date17/10/2023
Place of PublicationLancaster
PublisherLancaster University, Department of Economics
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Publication series

NameEconomics Working Papers Series

Abstract

This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of exogenous changes in housing credit supply. We identify the credit supply shock with a narrative dataset within a Factor-Augmented VAR. We find that a housing credit supply shock is expansionary in the housing sector, the financial markets as well as on main macroeconomic indicators. A one percent increase in the housing credit supply expands Industrial Production up to 1.4 percent and reduces the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points.We show that controlling for missing information and anticipation effects is crucial for evaluating the transmission mechanism of housing credit supply shocks on the macroeconomy.