Final published version
Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk
T2 - a review of causal pathways
AU - Xie, Xiaolan
AU - Hao, Mengmeng
AU - Ding, Fangyu
AU - Scheffran, Jürgen
AU - Ide, Tobias
AU - Maystadt, Jean-Francois
AU - Qian, Yushu
AU - Wang, Qian
AU - Chen, Shuai
AU - Wu, Jiajie
AU - Sun, Kai
AU - Ma, Tian
AU - Jiang, Dong
PY - 2024/11/11
Y1 - 2024/11/11
N2 - The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways
AB - The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways
KW - causal pathways
KW - climate change
KW - violent conflict risk
U2 - 10.1088/2515-7620/ad8a21
DO - 10.1088/2515-7620/ad8a21
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 39539803
VL - 6
JO - Environmental Research Communications
JF - Environmental Research Communications
SN - 2515-7620
IS - 11
M1 - 112002
ER -