Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Time-series forecasting with a novel fuzzy time-series approach
T2 - An example for Istanbul stock market
AU - Yolcu, Ufuk
AU - Aladag, Cagdas Hakan
AU - Egrioglu, Erol
AU - Uslu, Vedide R.
PY - 2013/4/1
Y1 - 2013/4/1
N2 - Artificial intelligence procedures such as artificial neural networks (ANNs), genetic algorithms and particle swarm optimization and other procedures such as fuzzy clustering have been successfully used in the various stages of different fuzzy time-series forecasting approaches. Fuzzy clustering, genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization are generally used in the fuzzification stage, and this simplifies the applicability of this stage and makes the fuzzy time-series approach more systematic. ANNs have also been applied successfully in the fuzzy relationship determination stage. In this study, we propose a new hybrid fuzzy time-series approach in which fuzzy c-means clustering procedure is employed in the fuzzification stage and feed-forward neural networks are used in the fuzzy relationship determination stage. This study also includes an empirical analysis pertaining to the forecasting of Index 100 for the stocks and bonds exchange market of Istanbul.
AB - Artificial intelligence procedures such as artificial neural networks (ANNs), genetic algorithms and particle swarm optimization and other procedures such as fuzzy clustering have been successfully used in the various stages of different fuzzy time-series forecasting approaches. Fuzzy clustering, genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization are generally used in the fuzzification stage, and this simplifies the applicability of this stage and makes the fuzzy time-series approach more systematic. ANNs have also been applied successfully in the fuzzy relationship determination stage. In this study, we propose a new hybrid fuzzy time-series approach in which fuzzy c-means clustering procedure is employed in the fuzzification stage and feed-forward neural networks are used in the fuzzy relationship determination stage. This study also includes an empirical analysis pertaining to the forecasting of Index 100 for the stocks and bonds exchange market of Istanbul.
KW - defuzzification
KW - feed-forward neural networks
KW - fuzzification
KW - fuzzy c-means clustering
KW - fuzzy relationship
KW - fuzzy time series
U2 - 10.1080/00949655.2011.630000
DO - 10.1080/00949655.2011.630000
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:84864746036
VL - 83
SP - 597
EP - 610
JO - Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
JF - Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
SN - 0094-9655
IS - 4
ER -