Standard
Harvard
Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J, Díaz, S, Rifai, SW, Corral-Rivas, JJ, Nava-Miranda, MG, González-M, R, Hurtado-M, AB, Revilla, NS, Vilanova, E, Almeida, E, de Oliveira, EA, Alvarez-Davila, E, Alves, LF, de Andrade, ACS, Lola da Costa, AC, Vieira, SA, Aragão, L, Arets, E, Aymard C, GA
, Baccaro, F, Bakker, YV, Baker, TR, Bánki, O, Baraloto, C, de Camargo, PB
, Berenguer, E, Blanc, L, Bonal, D, Bongers, F, Bordin, KM, Brienen, R, Brown, F, Prestes, NCCS, Castilho, CV, Ribeiro, SC, de Souza, FC, Comiskey, JA, Valverde, FC, Müller, SC, da Costa Silva, R, do Vale, JD, de Andrade Kamimura, V, de Oliveira Perdiz, R, Del Aguila Pasquel, J, Derroire, G, Di Fiore, A, Disney, M, Farfan-Rios, W, Fauset, S, Feldpausch, TR, Ramos, RF, Llampazo, GF, Martins, VF, Fortunel, C, Cabrera, KG, Barroso, JG, Hérault, B, Herrera, R, Honorio Coronado, EN, Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I, Pipoly, JJ, Zanini, KJ, Jiménez, E, Joly, CA, Kalamandeen, M, Klipel, J, Levesley, A, Oviedo, WL, Magnusson, WE, Dos Santos, RM, Marimon, BS, Marimon-Junior, BH, de Almeida Reis, SM, Melo Cruz, OA, Mendoza, AM, Morandi, P, Muscarella, R, Nascimento, H, Neill, DA, Menor, IO, Palacios, WA, Palacios-Ramos, S, Pallqui Camacho, NC, Pardo, G, Pennington, RT, de Oliveira Pereira, L, Pickavance, G, Picolotto, RC, Pitman, NCA, Prieto, A, Quesada, C, Ramírez-Angulo, H, Réjou-Méchain, M, Correa, ZR, Reyna Huaymacari, JM, Rodriguez, CR, Rivas-Torres, G, Roopsind, A, Rudas, A, Salgado Negret, B, van der Sande, MT, Santana, FD, Maës Santos, FA, Bergamin, RS, Silman, MR
, Silva, C, Espejo, JS, Silveira, M
, Souza, FC, Sullivan, MJP, Swamy, V, Talbot, J, Terborgh, JJ, van der Meer, PJ, van der Heijden, G, van Ulft, B, Martinez, RV, Vedovato, L, Vleminckx, J, Vos, VA, Wortel, V, Zuidema, PA, Zwerts, JA, Laurance, SGW, Laurance, WF, Chave, J, Dalling, JW
, Barlow, J, Poorter, L, Enquist, BJ, Ter Steege, H, Phillips, OL, Galbraith, D & Malhi, Y 2025, '
Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change',
Science, vol. 387, no. 6738, eadl5414.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl5414APA
Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J., Díaz, S., Rifai, S. W., Corral-Rivas, J. J., Nava-Miranda, M. G., González-M, R., Hurtado-M, A. B., Revilla, N. S., Vilanova, E., Almeida, E., de Oliveira, E. A., Alvarez-Davila, E., Alves, L. F., de Andrade, A. C. S., Lola da Costa, A. C., Vieira, S. A., Aragão, L., Arets, E., Aymard C, G. A., ... Malhi, Y. (2025).
Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change.
Science,
387(6738), Article eadl5414.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl5414Vancouver
Author
Bibtex
@article{dbddf93acdb04666b5739e7102152d89,
title = "Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change",
abstract = "Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.",
keywords = "Climate Change, Biodiversity, Forests, Americas, Tropical Climate, Trees",
author = "Jes{\'u}s Aguirre-Guti{\'e}rrez and Sandra D{\'i}az and Rifai, {Sami W} and Corral-Rivas, {Jose Javier} and Nava-Miranda, {Maria Guadalupe} and Roy Gonz{\'a}lez-M and Hurtado-M, {Ana Bel{\'e}n} and Revilla, {Norma Salinas} and Emilio Vilanova and Everton Almeida and {de Oliveira}, {Edmar Almeida} and Esteban Alvarez-Davila and Alves, {Luciana F} and {de Andrade}, {Ana Cristina Segalin} and {Lola da Costa}, {Antonio Carlos} and Vieira, {Simone Aparecida} and Luiz Arag{\~a}o and Eric Arets and {Aymard C}, {Gerardo A} and Fabr{\'i}cio Baccaro and Bakker, {Yvonne Vanessa} and Baker, {Timothy R} and Olaf B{\'a}nki and Christopher Baraloto and {de Camargo}, {Pl{\'i}nio Barbosa} and Erika Berenguer and Lilian Blanc and Damien Bonal and Frans Bongers and Bordin, {Kauane Maiara} and Roel Brienen and Foster Brown and Prestes, {Nayane Cristina C S} and Castilho, {Carolina V} and Ribeiro, {Sabina Cerruto} and {de Souza}, {Fernanda Coelho} and Comiskey, {James A} and Valverde, {Fernando Cornejo} and M{\"u}ller, {Sandra Cristina} and {da Costa Silva}, Richarlly and {do Vale}, {Julio Daniel} and {de Andrade Kamimura}, Vitor and {de Oliveira Perdiz}, Ricardo and {Del Aguila Pasquel}, Jhon and G{\'e}raldine Derroire and {Di Fiore}, Anthony and Mathias Disney and William Farfan-Rios and Sophie Fauset and Feldpausch, {Ted R} and Ramos, {Rafael Flora} and Llampazo, {Gerardo Flores} and Martins, {Val{\'e}ria Forni} and Claire Fortunel and Cabrera, {Karina Garcia} and Barroso, {Jorcely Gon{\c c}alves} and Bruno H{\'e}rault and Rafael Herrera and {Honorio Coronado}, {Eur{\'i}dice N} and Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco and Pipoly, {John J} and Zanini, {Katia Janaina} and Eliana Jim{\'e}nez and Joly, {Carlos A} and Michelle Kalamandeen and Joice Klipel and Aurora Levesley and Oviedo, {Wilmar Lopez} and Magnusson, {William E} and {Dos Santos}, {Rubens Manoel} and Marimon, {Beatriz Schwantes} and Marimon-Junior, {Ben Hur} and {de Almeida Reis}, {Simone Matias} and {Melo Cruz}, {Omar Aurelio} and Mendoza, {Abel Monteagudo} and Paulo Morandi and Robert Muscarella and Henrique Nascimento and Neill, {David A} and Menor, {Imma Oliveras} and Palacios, {Walter A} and Sonia Palacios-Ramos and {Pallqui Camacho}, {Nadir Carolina} and Guido Pardo and Pennington, {R Toby} and {de Oliveira Pereira}, Luciana and Georgia Pickavance and Picolotto, {Rayana Caroline} and Pitman, {Nigel C A} and Adriana Prieto and Carlos Quesada and Hirma Ram{\'i}rez-Angulo and Maxime R{\'e}jou-M{\'e}chain and Correa, {Zorayda Restrepo} and {Reyna Huaymacari}, {Jos{\'e} Manuel} and Rodriguez, {Carlos Reynel} and Gonzalo Rivas-Torres and Anand Roopsind and Agust{\'i}n Rudas and {Salgado Negret}, Beatriz and {van der Sande}, {Masha T} and Santana, {Fl{\'a}via Delgado} and {Ma{\"e}s Santos}, {Flavio Antonio} and Bergamin, {Rodrigo Scarton} and Silman, {Miles R} and Camila Silva and Espejo, {Javier Silva} and Marcos Silveira and Souza, {Fernanda Cristina} and Sullivan, {Martin J P} and Varun Swamy and Joey Talbot and Terborgh, {John J} and {van der Meer}, {Peter J} and {van der Heijden}, Geertje and {van Ulft}, Bert and Martinez, {Rodolfo Vasquez} and Laura Vedovato and Jason Vleminckx and Vos, {Vincent Antoine} and Verginia Wortel and Zuidema, {Pieter A} and Zwerts, {Joeri A} and Laurance, {Susan G W} and Laurance, {William F} and Jer{\^o}me Chave and Dalling, {James W} and Jos Barlow and Lourens Poorter and Enquist, {Brian J} and {Ter Steege}, Hans and Phillips, {Oliver L} and David Galbraith and Yadvinder Malhi",
year = "2025",
month = mar,
day = "7",
doi = "10.1126/science.adl5414",
language = "English",
volume = "387",
journal = "Science",
issn = "0036-8075",
publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
number = "6738",
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
T1 - Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
AU - Aguirre-Gutiérrez, Jesús
AU - Díaz, Sandra
AU - Rifai, Sami W
AU - Corral-Rivas, Jose Javier
AU - Nava-Miranda, Maria Guadalupe
AU - González-M, Roy
AU - Hurtado-M, Ana Belén
AU - Revilla, Norma Salinas
AU - Vilanova, Emilio
AU - Almeida, Everton
AU - de Oliveira, Edmar Almeida
AU - Alvarez-Davila, Esteban
AU - Alves, Luciana F
AU - de Andrade, Ana Cristina Segalin
AU - Lola da Costa, Antonio Carlos
AU - Vieira, Simone Aparecida
AU - Aragão, Luiz
AU - Arets, Eric
AU - Aymard C, Gerardo A
AU - Baccaro, Fabrício
AU - Bakker, Yvonne Vanessa
AU - Baker, Timothy R
AU - Bánki, Olaf
AU - Baraloto, Christopher
AU - de Camargo, Plínio Barbosa
AU - Berenguer, Erika
AU - Blanc, Lilian
AU - Bonal, Damien
AU - Bongers, Frans
AU - Bordin, Kauane Maiara
AU - Brienen, Roel
AU - Brown, Foster
AU - Prestes, Nayane Cristina C S
AU - Castilho, Carolina V
AU - Ribeiro, Sabina Cerruto
AU - de Souza, Fernanda Coelho
AU - Comiskey, James A
AU - Valverde, Fernando Cornejo
AU - Müller, Sandra Cristina
AU - da Costa Silva, Richarlly
AU - do Vale, Julio Daniel
AU - de Andrade Kamimura, Vitor
AU - de Oliveira Perdiz, Ricardo
AU - Del Aguila Pasquel, Jhon
AU - Derroire, Géraldine
AU - Di Fiore, Anthony
AU - Disney, Mathias
AU - Farfan-Rios, William
AU - Fauset, Sophie
AU - Feldpausch, Ted R
AU - Ramos, Rafael Flora
AU - Llampazo, Gerardo Flores
AU - Martins, Valéria Forni
AU - Fortunel, Claire
AU - Cabrera, Karina Garcia
AU - Barroso, Jorcely Gonçalves
AU - Hérault, Bruno
AU - Herrera, Rafael
AU - Honorio Coronado, Eurídice N
AU - Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, Isau
AU - Pipoly, John J
AU - Zanini, Katia Janaina
AU - Jiménez, Eliana
AU - Joly, Carlos A
AU - Kalamandeen, Michelle
AU - Klipel, Joice
AU - Levesley, Aurora
AU - Oviedo, Wilmar Lopez
AU - Magnusson, William E
AU - Dos Santos, Rubens Manoel
AU - Marimon, Beatriz Schwantes
AU - Marimon-Junior, Ben Hur
AU - de Almeida Reis, Simone Matias
AU - Melo Cruz, Omar Aurelio
AU - Mendoza, Abel Monteagudo
AU - Morandi, Paulo
AU - Muscarella, Robert
AU - Nascimento, Henrique
AU - Neill, David A
AU - Menor, Imma Oliveras
AU - Palacios, Walter A
AU - Palacios-Ramos, Sonia
AU - Pallqui Camacho, Nadir Carolina
AU - Pardo, Guido
AU - Pennington, R Toby
AU - de Oliveira Pereira, Luciana
AU - Pickavance, Georgia
AU - Picolotto, Rayana Caroline
AU - Pitman, Nigel C A
AU - Prieto, Adriana
AU - Quesada, Carlos
AU - Ramírez-Angulo, Hirma
AU - Réjou-Méchain, Maxime
AU - Correa, Zorayda Restrepo
AU - Reyna Huaymacari, José Manuel
AU - Rodriguez, Carlos Reynel
AU - Rivas-Torres, Gonzalo
AU - Roopsind, Anand
AU - Rudas, Agustín
AU - Salgado Negret, Beatriz
AU - van der Sande, Masha T
AU - Santana, Flávia Delgado
AU - Maës Santos, Flavio Antonio
AU - Bergamin, Rodrigo Scarton
AU - Silman, Miles R
AU - Silva, Camila
AU - Espejo, Javier Silva
AU - Silveira, Marcos
AU - Souza, Fernanda Cristina
AU - Sullivan, Martin J P
AU - Swamy, Varun
AU - Talbot, Joey
AU - Terborgh, John J
AU - van der Meer, Peter J
AU - van der Heijden, Geertje
AU - van Ulft, Bert
AU - Martinez, Rodolfo Vasquez
AU - Vedovato, Laura
AU - Vleminckx, Jason
AU - Vos, Vincent Antoine
AU - Wortel, Verginia
AU - Zuidema, Pieter A
AU - Zwerts, Joeri A
AU - Laurance, Susan G W
AU - Laurance, William F
AU - Chave, Jerôme
AU - Dalling, James W
AU - Barlow, Jos
AU - Poorter, Lourens
AU - Enquist, Brian J
AU - Ter Steege, Hans
AU - Phillips, Oliver L
AU - Galbraith, David
AU - Malhi, Yadvinder
PY - 2025/3/7
Y1 - 2025/3/7
N2 - Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.
AB - Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.
KW - Climate Change
KW - Biodiversity
KW - Forests
KW - Americas
KW - Tropical Climate
KW - Trees
U2 - 10.1126/science.adl5414
DO - 10.1126/science.adl5414
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 40048518
VL - 387
JO - Science
JF - Science
SN - 0036-8075
IS - 6738
M1 - eadl5414
ER -
