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Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability. / Iglesias Suarez, Fernando; Wild, Oliver; Kinnison, Douglas E. et al.
In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 48, No. 11, e2020GL092162, 16.06.2021.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Iglesias Suarez, F, Wild, O, Kinnison, DE, Garcia, R, Marsh, D, Lamarque, J-F, Ryan, E, Davis, S, Eichinger, R, Saiz-Lopez, A & Young, P 2021, 'Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 48, no. 11, e2020GL092162. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092162

APA

Iglesias Suarez, F., Wild, O., Kinnison, D. E., Garcia, R., Marsh, D., Lamarque, J-F., Ryan, E., Davis, S., Eichinger, R., Saiz-Lopez, A., & Young, P. (2021). Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(11), Article e2020GL092162. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092162

Vancouver

Iglesias Suarez F, Wild O, Kinnison DE, Garcia R, Marsh D, Lamarque J-F et al. Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters. 2021 Jun 16;48(11):e2020GL092162. Epub 2021 Jun 9. doi: 10.1029/2020GL092162

Author

Iglesias Suarez, Fernando ; Wild, Oliver ; Kinnison, Douglas E. et al. / Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability. In: Geophysical Research Letters. 2021 ; Vol. 48, No. 11.

Bibtex

@article{4864d9f453794793b311672a8707c031,
title = "Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability",
abstract = "Observational and modeling evidence suggest a recent acceleration of the stratospheric Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC), driven by climate change and stratospheric ozone depletion. However, slowly varying natural variability can compromise our ability to detect such forced changes over the relatively short observational record. Using observations and chemistry-climate model simulations, we demonstrate a link between multi-decadal variability in the strength of the BDC and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), with knock-on impacts for composition in the stratosphere. After accounting for the IPO-like variability in the BDC, the modeled trend is approximately 7%–10% dec−1 over 1979–2010. Furthermore, we find that sea surface temperatures explain up to 50% of the simulated decadal variability in tropical mid-stratospheric ozone. Our findings demonstrate strong links between low-frequency variability in the oceans, troposphere and stratosphere, as well as their potential importance in detecting structural changes in the BDC and future ozone recovery.",
keywords = "climate change and variability, dynamics and chemistry, stratosphere/troposphere interactions",
author = "{Iglesias Suarez}, Fernando and Oliver Wild and Kinnison, {Douglas E.} and Rolando Garcia and Dan Marsh and Jean-Francois Lamarque and Edmund Ryan and Sean Davis and Roland Eichinger and Alfonso Saiz-Lopez and Paul Young",
year = "2021",
month = jun,
day = "16",
doi = "10.1029/2020GL092162",
language = "English",
volume = "48",
journal = "Geophysical Research Letters",
issn = "0094-8276",
publisher = "John Wiley & Sons, Ltd",
number = "11",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Tropical Stratospheric Circulation and Ozone Coupled to Pacific Multi-Decadal Variability

AU - Iglesias Suarez, Fernando

AU - Wild, Oliver

AU - Kinnison, Douglas E.

AU - Garcia, Rolando

AU - Marsh, Dan

AU - Lamarque, Jean-Francois

AU - Ryan, Edmund

AU - Davis, Sean

AU - Eichinger, Roland

AU - Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso

AU - Young, Paul

PY - 2021/6/16

Y1 - 2021/6/16

N2 - Observational and modeling evidence suggest a recent acceleration of the stratospheric Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC), driven by climate change and stratospheric ozone depletion. However, slowly varying natural variability can compromise our ability to detect such forced changes over the relatively short observational record. Using observations and chemistry-climate model simulations, we demonstrate a link between multi-decadal variability in the strength of the BDC and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), with knock-on impacts for composition in the stratosphere. After accounting for the IPO-like variability in the BDC, the modeled trend is approximately 7%–10% dec−1 over 1979–2010. Furthermore, we find that sea surface temperatures explain up to 50% of the simulated decadal variability in tropical mid-stratospheric ozone. Our findings demonstrate strong links between low-frequency variability in the oceans, troposphere and stratosphere, as well as their potential importance in detecting structural changes in the BDC and future ozone recovery.

AB - Observational and modeling evidence suggest a recent acceleration of the stratospheric Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC), driven by climate change and stratospheric ozone depletion. However, slowly varying natural variability can compromise our ability to detect such forced changes over the relatively short observational record. Using observations and chemistry-climate model simulations, we demonstrate a link between multi-decadal variability in the strength of the BDC and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), with knock-on impacts for composition in the stratosphere. After accounting for the IPO-like variability in the BDC, the modeled trend is approximately 7%–10% dec−1 over 1979–2010. Furthermore, we find that sea surface temperatures explain up to 50% of the simulated decadal variability in tropical mid-stratospheric ozone. Our findings demonstrate strong links between low-frequency variability in the oceans, troposphere and stratosphere, as well as their potential importance in detecting structural changes in the BDC and future ozone recovery.

KW - climate change and variability

KW - dynamics and chemistry

KW - stratosphere/troposphere interactions

U2 - 10.1029/2020GL092162

DO - 10.1029/2020GL092162

M3 - Journal article

VL - 48

JO - Geophysical Research Letters

JF - Geophysical Research Letters

SN - 0094-8276

IS - 11

M1 - e2020GL092162

ER -