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Uncertainty and transparency: augmenting modelling and prediction for crisis response

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Published
Publication date2015
Host publicationThe 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
EditorsLeysia Palen, Monika Buscher, Tina Comes, Amanda Hughes
PublisherISCRAM
Number of pages7
ISBN (electronic)9788271177881
<mark>Original language</mark>English
EventISCRAM 2015 - Agder University, Kristiansand, Norway
Duration: 24/05/201527/05/2015

Conference

ConferenceISCRAM 2015
Country/TerritoryNorway
CityKristiansand
Period24/05/1527/05/15

Conference

ConferenceISCRAM 2015
Country/TerritoryNorway
CityKristiansand
Period24/05/1527/05/15

Abstract

Emergencies are characterised by uncertainty. This motivates the design of
information systems that model and predict complex natural, material or human
processes to support understanding and reduce uncertainty through prediction.
The correspondence between system models and reality, however, is also
governed by uncertainties, and designers have developed methods to render ‘the
world’ transparent in ways that can inform, fine-tune and validate models.
Additionally, people experience uncertainties in their use of simulation and
prediction systems. This is a major obstacle to effective utilisation. We discuss
ethically and socially motivated demands for transparency.