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  • Tayler and Zilberman JEDC 2024

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Unconventional policies in state-dependent liquidity traps

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

E-pub ahead of print
Article number104956
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>30/11/2024
<mark>Journal</mark>Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume168
Publication StatusE-pub ahead of print
Early online date12/09/24
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

We characterize optimal unconventional monetary and fiscal-financial policies against supply- and demand-driven liquidity traps within a tractable New Keynesian model featuring a cash-in-advance constraint and a monetary policy cost channel. Deposit subsidies circumvent the inflation-output trade-off arising from stagflationary shocks and supply-driven liquidity traps by enabling negative nominal interest rates. Additionally, deposit taxes facilitate modest interest rate hikes to escape demand-driven deflationary traps. Notably, discretionary and commitment policies with deposit taxes / subsidies deliver virtually equivalent welfare gains, rendering time-inconsistent forward guidance schedules unnecessary. We also derive robust and implementable optimal policy rules when the sources of shocks are unknown.