Home > Research > Datasets > A novel explainable online calculator for contr...
View graph of relations

A novel explainable online calculator for contrast-induced AKI in diabetics: a multi-centre validation and prospective evaluation study

Dataset

  • Mengqing Ma (Creator)
  • Xin Wan (Creator)
  • Yuyang Chen (Creator)
  • Zhichao Lu (Creator)
  • Danning Guo (Creator)
  • Huiping Kong (Creator)
  • Binbin Pan (Creator)
  • Hao ZhangChina agricultural University, Henan Normal University, The First Affiliated Hospital, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China, Univ Arizona, University of Arizona, Urology Department The Affiliated Qingdao Central Hospital of Qingdao University, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College of Qingdao University Qingdao Shandong China, College of Life Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China., Nanchang University, McGill Univ, McGill University, McGill Sch Environm, Ruian People's Hospital, Guangzhou & Chinese Academy of Sciences, Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Heilongjiang Provincial Hospital, Hunan Agricultural University, Ocean University of China, Jinan Univ, Jinan University, Coll Pharm, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Pharmacodynam Constituents, Fudan Univ, Fudan University, Sch Informat Sci & Technol, Univ Victoria, University of Victoria, Dept Phys & Astron, Wenzhou Medical University, Dalian University of Technology, Chongqing Medical University, Shanghai Children's Medical Center, Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS, Cornell Univ, Cornell University, Kavli Inst Cornell, Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Sch Mech Engn, Center for Brain Science, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China., Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Jiangnan University, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Shandong University, Qingdao, Shandong 266237, China, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Zhejiang Univ, Zhejiang University, Inst Informat & Commun Engn, First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Changhai Hospital, Inner Mongolia Academy of Agricultural & Animal Husbandry Sciences, Yunnan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Arthritis Research Canada Vancouver British Columbia Canada; Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, West China Hospital Sichuan University Chengdu Sichuan China; Rehabilitation Medicine Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital Sichuan University Chengdu Sichuan China, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Jilin University, Northwestern Polytechnical University Xian, South China University of Technology, Hubei Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Nanyang Technol Univ, Nanyang Technological University, Nanyang Technological University & National Institute of Education (NIE) Singapore, Sch Mat Sci & Engn, Department of Cardiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College , Beijing , China; Graduate School of Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College , Beijing , China, Harvard Univ, Harvard University, Dept Phys, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing Medical University (Creator)
  • Dawei Chen (Creator)
  • Dongxu Xu (Creator)
  • Dong Sun (Creator)
  • Hong Lang (Creator)
  • Changgao Zhou (Creator)
  • Tao Li (Creator)
  • Changchun Cao (Creator)

Description

Abstract Background In patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CIAKI) is a frequent complication, especially in diabetics, and is connected with severe mortality and morbidity in the short and long term. Therefore, we aimed to develop a CIAKI predictive model for diabetic patients. Methods 3514 patients with diabetes from four hospitals were separated into three cohorts: training, internal validation, and external validation. We developed six machine learning (ML) algorithms models: random forest (RF), gradient-boosted decision trees (GBDT), logistic regression (LR), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with LR, extreme gradient boosting trees (XGBT), and support vector machine (SVM). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of ML models was compared to the prior score model, and developed a brief CIAKI prediction model for diabetes (BCPMD). We also validated BCPMD model on the prospective cohort of 172 patients from one of the hospitals. To explain the prediction model, the shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach was used. Results In the six ML models, XGBT performed best in the cohort of internal (AUC: 0.816 (95% CI 0.777–0.853)) and external validation (AUC: 0.816 (95% CI 0.770–0.861)), and we determined the top 15 important predictors in XGBT model as BCPMD model variables. The features of BCPMD included acute coronary syndromes (ACS), urine protein level, diuretics, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (%), hemoglobin (g/L), congestive heart failure (CHF), stable Angina, uric acid (umol/L), preoperative diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (mmHg), contrast volumes (mL), albumin (g/L), baseline creatinine (umol/L), vessels of coronary artery disease, glucose (mmol/L) and diabetes history (yrs). Then, we validated BCPMD in the cohort of internal validation (AUC: 0.819 (95% CI 0.783–0.855)), the cohort of external validation (AUC: 0.805 (95% CI 0.755–0.850)) and the cohort of prospective validation (AUC: 0.801 (95% CI 0.688–0.887)). SHAP was constructed to provide personalized interpretation for each patient. Our model also has been developed into an online web risk calculator. MissForest was used to handle the missing values of the calculator. Conclusion We developed a novel risk calculator for CIAKI in diabetes based on the ML model, which can help clinicians achieve real-time prediction and explainable clinical decisions.
Date made available2023
PublisherFigshare

Contact person