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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Adaptive enrichment trials
T2 - What are the benefits?
AU - Burnett, T.
AU - Jennison, C.
PY - 2021/2/10
Y1 - 2021/2/10
N2 - When planning a Phase III clinical trial, suppose a certain subset of patients is expected to respond particularly well to the new treatment. Adaptive enrichment designs make use of interim data in selecting the target population for the remainder of the trial, either continuing with the full population or restricting recruitment to the subset of patients. We define a multiple testing procedure that maintains strong control of the familywise error rate, while allowing for the adaptive sampling procedure. We derive the Bayes optimal rule for deciding whether or not to restrict recruitment to the subset after the interim analysis and present an efficient algorithm to facilitate simulation-based optimisation, enabling the construction of Bayes optimal rules in a wide variety of problem formulations. We compare adaptive enrichment designs with traditional nonadaptive designs in a broad range of examples and draw clear conclusions about the potential benefits of adaptive enrichment.
AB - When planning a Phase III clinical trial, suppose a certain subset of patients is expected to respond particularly well to the new treatment. Adaptive enrichment designs make use of interim data in selecting the target population for the remainder of the trial, either continuing with the full population or restricting recruitment to the subset of patients. We define a multiple testing procedure that maintains strong control of the familywise error rate, while allowing for the adaptive sampling procedure. We derive the Bayes optimal rule for deciding whether or not to restrict recruitment to the subset after the interim analysis and present an efficient algorithm to facilitate simulation-based optimisation, enabling the construction of Bayes optimal rules in a wide variety of problem formulations. We compare adaptive enrichment designs with traditional nonadaptive designs in a broad range of examples and draw clear conclusions about the potential benefits of adaptive enrichment.
KW - adaptive designs
KW - adaptive enrichment
KW - Bayesian optimization
KW - phase III clinical trial
KW - population enrichment
KW - adult
KW - algorithm
KW - article
KW - controlled study
KW - human
KW - phase 3 clinical trial
KW - simulation
U2 - 10.1002/sim.8797
DO - 10.1002/sim.8797
M3 - Journal article
VL - 40
SP - 690
EP - 711
JO - Statistics in Medicine
JF - Statistics in Medicine
SN - 0277-6715
IS - 3
ER -