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Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review

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  • Petra Klepac
  • Jennifer L Hsieh
  • Camilla L Ducker
  • Mohamad Assoum
  • Mark Booth
  • Isabel Byrne
  • Sarity Dodson
  • Diana L Martin
  • C Michael R Turner
  • Kim R van Daalen
  • Bernadette Abela
  • Jennifer Akamboe
  • Fabiana Alves
  • Simon J Brooker
  • Karen Ciceri-Reynolds
  • Jeremy Cole
  • Aidan Desjardins
  • Chris Drakeley
  • Dileepa S Ediriweera
  • Neil M Ferguson
  • And 50 others
  • Albis Francesco Gabrielli
  • Joshua Gahir
  • Saurabh Jain
  • Mbaraka R John
  • Elizabeth Juma
  • Priya Kanayson
  • Kebede Deribe
  • Jonathan D King
  • Andrea M Kipingu
  • Samson Kiware
  • Jan Kolaczinski
  • Winnie J Kulei
  • Tajiri L Laizer
  • Vivek Lal
  • Rachel Lowe
  • Janice S Maige
  • Sam Mayer
  • Lachlan McIver
  • Jonathan F Mosser
  • Ruben Santiago Nicholls
  • Cláudio Nunes-Alves
  • Junaid Panjwani
  • Nishanth Parameswaran
  • Karen Polson
  • Hale-Seda Radoykova
  • Aditya Ramani
  • Lisa J Reimer
  • Zachary M Reynolds
  • Isabela Ribeiro
  • Alastair Robb
  • Kazim Hizbullah Sanikullah
  • David R M Smith
  • GloriaSalome G Shirima
  • Joseph P Shott
  • Rachel Tidman
  • Louisa Tribe
  • Jaspreet Turner
  • Susana Vaz Nery
  • Raman Velayudhan
  • Supriya Warusavithana
  • Holly S Wheeler
  • Aya Yajima
  • Ahmed Robleh Abdilleh
  • Benjamin Hounkpatin
  • Dechen Wangmo
  • Christopher J M Whitty
  • Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum
  • T Déirdre Hollingsworth
  • Anthony W Solomon
  • Ibrahima Socé Fall
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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>30/09/2024
<mark>Journal</mark>Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Issue number9
Volume118
Number of pages18
Pages (from-to)561-579
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date10/05/24
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

To explore the effects of climate change on malaria and 20 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), and potential effect amelioration through mitigation and adaptation, we searched for papers published from January 2010 to October 2023. We descriptively synthesised extracted data. We analysed numbers of papers meeting our inclusion criteria by country and national disease burden, healthcare access and quality index (HAQI), as well as by climate vulnerability score. From 42 693 retrieved records, 1543 full-text papers were assessed. Of 511 papers meeting the inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. Mitigation was considered in 174 papers (34%) and adaption strategies in 24 (5%). Amplitude and direction of effects of climate change on malaria and NTDs are likely to vary by disease and location, be non-linear and evolve over time. Available analyses do not allow confident prediction of the overall global impact of climate change on these diseases. For dengue and chikungunya and the group of non-vector-borne NTDs, the literature privileged consideration of current low-burden countries with a high HAQI. No leishmaniasis papers considered outcomes in East Africa. Comprehensive, collaborative and standardised modelling efforts are needed to better understand how climate change will directly and indirectly affect malaria and NTDs. [Abstract copyright: © World Health Organization, 2024. All rights reserved. The World Health Organization has granted the Publisher permission for the reproduction of this article.]