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Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

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Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system. / Budimir, Mirianna; Donovan, Amy; Brown, Sarah et al.
In: Geoscience Communication, Vol. 3, No. 1, 13.03.2020, p. 49-70.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Budimir, M, Donovan, A, Brown, S, Shakya, P, Gautam, D, Uprety, M, Cranston, M, Sneddon, A, Smith, P & Dugar, S 2020, 'Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system', Geoscience Communication, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 49-70. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

APA

Budimir, M., Donovan, A., Brown, S., Shakya, P., Gautam, D., Uprety, M., Cranston, M., Sneddon, A., Smith, P., & Dugar, S. (2020). Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system. Geoscience Communication, 3(1), 49-70. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

Vancouver

Budimir M, Donovan A, Brown S, Shakya P, Gautam D, Uprety M et al. Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system. Geoscience Communication. 2020 Mar 13;3(1):49-70. doi: 10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

Author

Budimir, Mirianna ; Donovan, Amy ; Brown, Sarah et al. / Communicating complex forecasts : An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system. In: Geoscience Communication. 2020 ; Vol. 3, No. 1. pp. 49-70.

Bibtex

@article{3276287e36e945f9965dfc59eb9ed4f4,
title = "Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system",
abstract = "Early warning systems have the potential to save lives and improve resilience. However, barriers and challenges remain in disseminating and communicating early warning information to institutional decision-makers, community members and individuals at risk, including unequal access, insufficient understanding, and inability to act on warning information. Research was undertaken to analyse and understand the current flood early warning system in Nepal, considering available data and forecasts, information flows, early warning dissemination, and decision-making for early action. Data were collected from key informant interviews, community-level questionnaires, and a national stakeholder workshop and qualitatively analysed. The availability and utilisation of simple and complex flood forecasts in Nepal, and their integration into dissemination, and decision support tools were reviewed, considering their impact on improving early action to increase the resilience of vulnerable communities to flooding. Results suggest that as Nepal continues to advance in hydro-meteorological forecasting capabilities, efforts are simultaneously needed to ensure these forecasts are more effectively communicated and disseminated.",
author = "Mirianna Budimir and Amy Donovan and Sarah Brown and Puja Shakya and Dilip Gautam and Madhab Uprety and Michael Cranston and Alison Sneddon and Paul Smith and Sumit Dugar",
note = "Funding Information: Acknowledgements. We would like to thank the Z Zurich Foundation for funding provided as part of the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance, and the enumerators and Practical Action Nepal staff who collected the data at community level and performed the key informant interviews at sub-national level. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} Author(s) 2020.",
year = "2020",
month = mar,
day = "13",
doi = "10.5194/gc-3-49-2020",
language = "English",
volume = "3",
pages = "49--70",
journal = "Geoscience Communication",
issn = "2569-7102",
publisher = "Copernicus Publications",
number = "1",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Communicating complex forecasts

T2 - An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

AU - Budimir, Mirianna

AU - Donovan, Amy

AU - Brown, Sarah

AU - Shakya, Puja

AU - Gautam, Dilip

AU - Uprety, Madhab

AU - Cranston, Michael

AU - Sneddon, Alison

AU - Smith, Paul

AU - Dugar, Sumit

N1 - Funding Information: Acknowledgements. We would like to thank the Z Zurich Foundation for funding provided as part of the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance, and the enumerators and Practical Action Nepal staff who collected the data at community level and performed the key informant interviews at sub-national level. Publisher Copyright: © Author(s) 2020.

PY - 2020/3/13

Y1 - 2020/3/13

N2 - Early warning systems have the potential to save lives and improve resilience. However, barriers and challenges remain in disseminating and communicating early warning information to institutional decision-makers, community members and individuals at risk, including unequal access, insufficient understanding, and inability to act on warning information. Research was undertaken to analyse and understand the current flood early warning system in Nepal, considering available data and forecasts, information flows, early warning dissemination, and decision-making for early action. Data were collected from key informant interviews, community-level questionnaires, and a national stakeholder workshop and qualitatively analysed. The availability and utilisation of simple and complex flood forecasts in Nepal, and their integration into dissemination, and decision support tools were reviewed, considering their impact on improving early action to increase the resilience of vulnerable communities to flooding. Results suggest that as Nepal continues to advance in hydro-meteorological forecasting capabilities, efforts are simultaneously needed to ensure these forecasts are more effectively communicated and disseminated.

AB - Early warning systems have the potential to save lives and improve resilience. However, barriers and challenges remain in disseminating and communicating early warning information to institutional decision-makers, community members and individuals at risk, including unequal access, insufficient understanding, and inability to act on warning information. Research was undertaken to analyse and understand the current flood early warning system in Nepal, considering available data and forecasts, information flows, early warning dissemination, and decision-making for early action. Data were collected from key informant interviews, community-level questionnaires, and a national stakeholder workshop and qualitatively analysed. The availability and utilisation of simple and complex flood forecasts in Nepal, and their integration into dissemination, and decision support tools were reviewed, considering their impact on improving early action to increase the resilience of vulnerable communities to flooding. Results suggest that as Nepal continues to advance in hydro-meteorological forecasting capabilities, efforts are simultaneously needed to ensure these forecasts are more effectively communicated and disseminated.

U2 - 10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

DO - 10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:85102641122

VL - 3

SP - 49

EP - 70

JO - Geoscience Communication

JF - Geoscience Communication

SN - 2569-7102

IS - 1

ER -