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Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
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TY - GEN
T1 - Detecting bias due to input modelling in computer simulation
AU - Morgan, Lucy
AU - Nelson, Barry Lee
AU - Titman, Andrew Charles
AU - Worthington, David John
N1 - Conference code: 50th
PY - 2017/12/3
Y1 - 2017/12/3
N2 - Bias due to input modelling is almost always assumed negligible and ignored. It is known that increasing the amount of real-world data available for modelling input processes causes this form of bias to decrease faster than the variance due to input uncertainty. However, this does not mean bias is irrelevant when considering the error in a simulation performance measure caused by input modelling. In this paper we present a response surface approach to bias estimation in simulation models along with a diagnostic test for identifying, with controlled power, bias due to input modelling of a size that would be concerning to a practitioner.
AB - Bias due to input modelling is almost always assumed negligible and ignored. It is known that increasing the amount of real-world data available for modelling input processes causes this form of bias to decrease faster than the variance due to input uncertainty. However, this does not mean bias is irrelevant when considering the error in a simulation performance measure caused by input modelling. In this paper we present a response surface approach to bias estimation in simulation models along with a diagnostic test for identifying, with controlled power, bias due to input modelling of a size that would be concerning to a practitioner.
KW - Response surface methodology
KW - Computational modeling
KW - Charge coupled devices
KW - Uncertainty
KW - Estimation
KW - Context modeling
KW - Covariance matrices
U2 - 10.1109/WSC.2017.8247932
DO - 10.1109/WSC.2017.8247932
M3 - Conference contribution/Paper
SN - 9781538634301
SP - 1974
EP - 1985
BT - 2017 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)
PB - IEEE Press
CY - Piscataway, NJ, USA
T2 - Winter Simulation Conference 2017
Y2 - 3 December 2017 through 6 December 2017
ER -