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Extreme sea levels: the joint probabilities method revisited and revised

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Published
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>08/1989
<mark>Journal</mark>Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers (London). Part 1 - Design & Construction
Volume87
Number of pages14
Pages (from-to)429-442
Publication StatusPublished
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

The joint probabilities method was introduced by Pugh and Vassie to enable estimates of the probability of extreme sea levels to be obtained from short data sets. Since the introduction of the method, a number of deficiencies with the approach have been identified, which affect its application; these are discussed. On the basis of relevant work in statistical extreme value theory, some refinements are suggested, and, by means of examples, are shown to be a significant improvement over the existing method.