Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Forecast combination by using artificial neural networks
AU - Aladag, Cagdas Hakan
AU - Egrioglu, Erol
AU - Yolcu, Ufuk
PY - 2010/12/1
Y1 - 2010/12/1
N2 - One of the efficient ways for obtaining accurate forecasts is usage of forecast combination method. This approach consists of combining different forecast values obtained from different forecasting models. Also artificial neural networks and fuzzy time series approaches have proved their success in the field of forecasting. In this study, a new forecast combination approach based on artificial neural networks is proposed. The forecasts obtain from different fuzzy time series models are combined by utilizing artificial neural networks. The proposed method is applied to index of Istanbul stock exchange (IMKB) time series and the results are compared to other forecast combination methods available in the literature. As a result of the implementation, it is seen that the proposed forecast combination approach produces better forecasts than those produced by other methods.
AB - One of the efficient ways for obtaining accurate forecasts is usage of forecast combination method. This approach consists of combining different forecast values obtained from different forecasting models. Also artificial neural networks and fuzzy time series approaches have proved their success in the field of forecasting. In this study, a new forecast combination approach based on artificial neural networks is proposed. The forecasts obtain from different fuzzy time series models are combined by utilizing artificial neural networks. The proposed method is applied to index of Istanbul stock exchange (IMKB) time series and the results are compared to other forecast combination methods available in the literature. As a result of the implementation, it is seen that the proposed forecast combination approach produces better forecasts than those produced by other methods.
KW - Artificial neural networks
KW - Forecast combination
KW - Forecasting
KW - Fuzzy time series
U2 - 10.1007/s11063-010-9156-7
DO - 10.1007/s11063-010-9156-7
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:78650693344
VL - 32
SP - 269
EP - 276
JO - Neural Processing Letters
JF - Neural Processing Letters
SN - 1370-4621
IS - 3
ER -