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Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
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TY - GEN
T1 - Forecasting hot water consumption in dwellings using artificial neural networks
AU - Gelazanskas, Linas
AU - Gamage, Kelum
PY - 2015/5/13
Y1 - 2015/5/13
N2 - The electricity grid is currently transforming and becoming more and more decentralised. Green energy generation has many incentives throughout the world thus small renewable generation units become popular. Intermittent generation units pose threat to system stability so new balancing techniques like Demand Side Management must be researched. Residential hot water heaters are perfect candidates to be used for shifting electricity consumption in time. This paper investigates the ability on Artificial Neural Networks to predict individual hot water heater energy demand profile. Data from about a hundred dwellings are analysed using autocorrelation technique. The most appropriate lags were chosen and different Neural Network model topologies were tested and compared. The results are positive and show that water heaters have could potentially shift electric energy.
AB - The electricity grid is currently transforming and becoming more and more decentralised. Green energy generation has many incentives throughout the world thus small renewable generation units become popular. Intermittent generation units pose threat to system stability so new balancing techniques like Demand Side Management must be researched. Residential hot water heaters are perfect candidates to be used for shifting electricity consumption in time. This paper investigates the ability on Artificial Neural Networks to predict individual hot water heater energy demand profile. Data from about a hundred dwellings are analysed using autocorrelation technique. The most appropriate lags were chosen and different Neural Network model topologies were tested and compared. The results are positive and show that water heaters have could potentially shift electric energy.
U2 - 10.1109/PowerEng.2015.7266352
DO - 10.1109/PowerEng.2015.7266352
M3 - Conference contribution/Paper
SN - 9781467372039
SP - 410
EP - 415
BT - 2015 IEEE 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015)
PB - IEEE
T2 - The 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015)
Y2 - 11 May 2015 through 13 May 2015
ER -