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Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network

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Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network. / Suhermi, N.; Suhartono, [Unknown]; Permata, R.P. et al.
Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. ed. / Michael W. Berry; Bee Wah Yap; Azlinah Mohamed; Mario Koppen. Singapore: Springer, 2019. p. 272-286 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 1100).

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Harvard

Suhermi, N, Suhartono, U, Permata, RP & Rahayu, SP 2019, Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network. in MW Berry, BW Yap, A Mohamed & M Koppen (eds), Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol. 1100, Springer, Singapore, pp. 272-286. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22

APA

Suhermi, N., Suhartono, U., Permata, R. P., & Rahayu, S. P. (2019). Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network. In M. W. Berry, B. W. Yap, A. Mohamed, & M. Koppen (Eds.), Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings (pp. 272-286). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 1100). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22

Vancouver

Suhermi N, Suhartono U, Permata RP, Rahayu SP. Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network. In Berry MW, Yap BW, Mohamed A, Koppen M, editors, Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. Singapore: Springer. 2019. p. 272-286. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). Epub 2019 Sept 24. doi: 10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22

Author

Suhermi, N. ; Suhartono, [Unknown] ; Permata, R.P. et al. / Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network. Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. editor / Michael W. Berry ; Bee Wah Yap ; Azlinah Mohamed ; Mario Koppen. Singapore : Springer, 2019. pp. 272-286 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).

Bibtex

@inproceedings{027736dc8cf84a3f9b32a1d1ad5c729f,
title = "Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network",
abstract = "The trend of muslim fashion has significantly raised the search trend for the brands of hijab and sarong in Indonesia. The aim of this study is to forecast the search trend for hijab and sarong based on google trends data. The Hijab brands include Rabbani, Zoya, Dian Pelangi, Elzatta, and Shafira, while the sarong brands include Gajah Duduk, Wadimor, Atlas, Mango, and Sapphire. We apply several forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters{\textquoteright} Exponential Smoothing, ARIMA, ARIMAX, FFNN and ERNN. The data contains calendar variation effect due to the Eid al-Fitr days use different calendar system. The results show that FFNN yields the most accurate forecast on 6 out of 10 brands. The forecast results for year 2019 period show that the search trend for Atlas brand is predicted to be the highest of all sarong brands. On the contrary, all the hijab brands{\textquoteright} trend search will decrease in this period.",
keywords = "ARIMA, ARIMAX, ERNN, FFNN, Forecasting, Google trends",
author = "N. Suhermi and [Unknown] Suhartono and R.P. Permata and S.P. Rahayu",
year = "2019",
month = sep,
day = "30",
doi = "10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22",
language = "English",
isbn = "9789811503986",
series = "Communications in Computer and Information Science",
publisher = "Springer",
pages = "272--286",
editor = "Berry, {Michael W.} and Yap, {Bee Wah} and Azlinah Mohamed and Mario Koppen",
booktitle = "Soft Computing in Data Science",

}

RIS

TY - GEN

T1 - Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network

AU - Suhermi, N.

AU - Suhartono, [Unknown]

AU - Permata, R.P.

AU - Rahayu, S.P.

PY - 2019/9/30

Y1 - 2019/9/30

N2 - The trend of muslim fashion has significantly raised the search trend for the brands of hijab and sarong in Indonesia. The aim of this study is to forecast the search trend for hijab and sarong based on google trends data. The Hijab brands include Rabbani, Zoya, Dian Pelangi, Elzatta, and Shafira, while the sarong brands include Gajah Duduk, Wadimor, Atlas, Mango, and Sapphire. We apply several forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters’ Exponential Smoothing, ARIMA, ARIMAX, FFNN and ERNN. The data contains calendar variation effect due to the Eid al-Fitr days use different calendar system. The results show that FFNN yields the most accurate forecast on 6 out of 10 brands. The forecast results for year 2019 period show that the search trend for Atlas brand is predicted to be the highest of all sarong brands. On the contrary, all the hijab brands’ trend search will decrease in this period.

AB - The trend of muslim fashion has significantly raised the search trend for the brands of hijab and sarong in Indonesia. The aim of this study is to forecast the search trend for hijab and sarong based on google trends data. The Hijab brands include Rabbani, Zoya, Dian Pelangi, Elzatta, and Shafira, while the sarong brands include Gajah Duduk, Wadimor, Atlas, Mango, and Sapphire. We apply several forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters’ Exponential Smoothing, ARIMA, ARIMAX, FFNN and ERNN. The data contains calendar variation effect due to the Eid al-Fitr days use different calendar system. The results show that FFNN yields the most accurate forecast on 6 out of 10 brands. The forecast results for year 2019 period show that the search trend for Atlas brand is predicted to be the highest of all sarong brands. On the contrary, all the hijab brands’ trend search will decrease in this period.

KW - ARIMA

KW - ARIMAX

KW - ERNN

KW - FFNN

KW - Forecasting

KW - Google trends

U2 - 10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22

DO - 10.1007/978-981-15-0399-3_22

M3 - Conference contribution/Paper

SN - 9789811503986

T3 - Communications in Computer and Information Science

SP - 272

EP - 286

BT - Soft Computing in Data Science

A2 - Berry, Michael W.

A2 - Yap, Bee Wah

A2 - Mohamed, Azlinah

A2 - Koppen, Mario

PB - Springer

CY - Singapore

ER -